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Seagrass collapse due to synergistic stressors is not

1

anticipated by phenological changes

2

Giulia Ceccherelli1*,Silvia Oliva1, Stefania Pinna1, Luigi Piazzi1, Gabriele Procaccini2, 3

Lazaro Marin-Guirao2, Emanuela Dattolo2, Roberto Gallia2, Gabriella La Manna1,3, Paola 4

Gennaro4, Monya M. Costa5, Isabel Barrote5, João Silva5, Fabio Bulleri6 5

6 7

1Dipartimento di Scienze della Natura e del Territorio, Polo Bionaturalistico, University of 8

Sassari, via Piandanna 4, 07100 Sassari, Italy 9

2Stazione Zoologica Anton Dohrn, Villa Comunale, Napoli, Italy 10

3MareTerra – Environmental Research and Conservation, Regione Sa Londra 9, Alghero 11

(SS), Italy 12

4Italian National Institute for Environmental Protection and Research (ISPRA), via di Castel 13

Romano 100, Roma, Italy 14

15

5CCMAR - Centre of Marine Sciences, University of Algarve, Faro, Portugal 16

6Department of Biology, University of Pisa, via Derna 1, Pisa 17 18 *corresponding author 19 GIULIA CECCHERELLI 20

Dipartimento di Scienze della Natura e del Territorio, 21

Polo Bionaturalistico, 22

University of Sassari, 23

via Piandanna 4, 07100 Sassari, Italy 24

phone: +39-079-228643 25

e-mail address: cecche@uniss.it 26

27

Author contributions: GC, SO, and LP conceived and designed the experiments. GC, SO, 28

SP and LP performed the experiments. GP, LMG, ED, RG, PG, MMC, IB, JS analysed the 29

sampled material, FB analysed the data. GC and FB led the writing of the ms. All authors 30

contributed critically to the drafts and gave final approval for publication. 31

running title: Synergistic stressors cause seagrass collapse 32

33

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34

Abstract 35

Seagrasses are globally declining and often their loss is due to synergies among 36

stressors. We investigated the interactive effects of eutrophication and burial on the 37

Mediterranean seagrass, Posidonia oceanica. A field experiment was conducted to 38

estimate whether shoot survival depends on the interactive effects of three levels of 39

intensity of both stressors and to identify early changes in plants (i.e. morphological, 40

physiological and biochemical, and expression of stress-related genes) that may 41

serve to detect signals of imminent shoot density collapse. Sediment burial and 42

nutrient enrichment produced interactive effects on P. oceanica shoot survival, as 43

high nutrient levels had the potential to accelerate the regression of the seagrass 44

exposed to high burial (HB). After 11 weeks, HB in combination with either high or 45

medium nutrient enrichment, caused a shoot loss of about 60%. Changes in 46

morphology were poor predictors of the seagrass decline. Likewise, few 47

biochemical variables were associated with P. oceanica survival (the phenolics, 48

ORAC and leaf 34S). By contrast, the expression of target genes had the highest

49

correlation with plant survival: photosynthetic genes (ATPa, psbD and psbA) were 50

upregulated in response to high burial, while carbon metabolism genes (CA-chl, 51

PGK and GADPH) were down-regulated. Therefore, die-offs due to high 52

sedimentation rate in eutrophic areas can only be anticipated by altered expression 53

of stress-related genes that may warn the imminent seagrass collapse. 54

Management of local stressors, such as nutrient pollution, may enhance seagrass 55

resilience in the face of the intensification of extreme climate events, such as floods. 56

Key words: burial, early warnings, eutrophication, multiple-stressors, Posidonia oceanica. 57

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1. Introduction 59

Transitions between natural systems with radically different properties can occur 60

abruptly. Important examples can be found in ecology (e.g., lake eutrophication and coral 61

reef collapses), where regime shifts have consequences that are often irreversible 62

(Bellwood et al. 2004, Carpenter 2011, Perry and Morgan 2017). Predicting and 63

anticipating catastrophic regime shifts represents a timely objective to improve our ability 64

to preserve biodiversity and ecosystem functioning in the face of escalating anthropogenic 65

pressures (Boettiger and Hastings 2013). Among all systems, the coastal marine are 66

experiencing a wide range of human-induced alterations, the magnitude of which 67

increases with the local density of human populations. Generally, the various 68

environmental stressors do not act in isolation (Crain et al. 2008); rather, the effects of 69

individual stressors interact to generate cumulative impacts that can be greater or smaller 70

than the sum of their individual impacts (i.e. synergistic or antagonistic effects). 71

Nevertheless, predicting the effects of combinations of stressors is particularly challenging 72

because mechanisms underpinning impact are rarely elucidated and either threshold or 73

nonlinear responses to stressors remain unknown (Griffen et al. 2016). 74

The effects of multiple stressors on slow-growing, habitat-forming species, such as 75

certain seagrasses, are particularly threatening. Seagrass meadows are among the most 76

important and productive coastal systems (Costanza et al. 1997). They provide key 77

ecological services, including nursery grounds, habitat (for a review see Heck et al., 2003), 78

organic carbon production and export, nutrient cycling, sediment stabilization, trophic 79

transfer to adjacent habitats (Hemminga and Duarte 2000, Larkum et al. 2006) and coastal 80

protection from erosion (Fonseca and Cahalan 1992, Fonseca and Koehl 2006). 81

Nonetheless, they are threatened by the rapid environmental changes caused by the 82

expansion of coastal human populations. Rapid, large-scale seagrass loss over relatively 83

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short temporal scales has been reported throughout the world (Bulthuis 1983, Orth and 84

Moore 1983, Fourqurean and Robblee 1999, Marbà et al. 2005, Walker et al. 2006). 85

Stressors, such as sediments and nutrients inputs from terrestrial runoff, physical 86

disturbance (e.g. trawling, anchoring), invasive species, disease, aquaculture, overgrazing, 87

algal blooms and global warming, have been shown to cause seagrass declines at scales 88

ranging from square meters to hundreds of square kilometres (e.g. Munkes 2005, Orth et 89

al. 2006, Williams, 2007, Waycott et al. 2009, Bockelmann et al. 2011, Giakoumi et al.

90

2015). Overall, enhanced nutrients loading and sedimentation rates are likely the most 91

common and significant causes of seagrass decline (Unsworth et al. 2015). Indeed, the 92

current expansion of fish farming and other aquaculture practices (e.g., shellfish culture) 93

can have serious consequences on local populations of seagrasses through increased 94

deposition of organic matter and nutrients (Marbà et al. 2006). While eutrophication is 95

considered as the main cause of seagrass loss at a regional scale, burial of plants due to 96

anthropogenic-increased sedimentation or natural extreme events like storms or floods, 97

has been identified as an important cause for local die-offs (Short and Wyllie-Echeverria 98

1996, Erftemeijer and Lewis 2006, Orth et al. 2006, Cabaço et al. 2008, Cabaço and 99

Santos 2014). 100

Posidonia oceanica (L.) Delile is a slow-growing seagrass, endemic in the

101

Mediterranean and experiencing a widespread decline throughout the basin (Telesca et al. 102

2015). The regression of P. oceanica beds and the consequent expansion of alternative 103

habitats (e.g. algal turfs or dead seagrass rhizomes, generally referred to as “dead matte”) 104

is particularly common in the proximity of urban areas (Montefalcone et al. 2009, 105

Tamburello et al. 2012). In addition to enhanced nutrient loading, P. oceanica meadows 106

are exposed to increased sedimentation rates as a consequence of beach nourishment, 107

dredging of waterways, shoreline armouring and severe climatic events (i.e. storms and 108

floods). Correlative and experimental studies have assessed the effects of both 109

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eutrophication (Alcoverro et al. 1997, Delgado et al. 1999, Ruiz et al. 2001, Holmer et al. 110

2008) and burial on P. oceanica (Manzanera et al. 2011, Gera et al. 2014), but how 111

organic load levels change the effects of burial is yet to be explored. Within this context, 112

the identification of early warning signals for drastic declines would be a valuable tool for 113

the management of seagrass meadows (McMahon et al. 2013, Macreadie et al. 2014, 114

Roca et al. 2016). This goal has been pursued for pressing disturbances through 115

correlative approaches (e.g., van Katwijk et al. 2011) that do not, however, allow 116

estimating signs of imminent collapses. 117

Here, we investigate the interactive effects of eutrophication and burial on P. 118

oceanica. A field experiment was conducted 1) to estimate whether shoot survival

119

depends on the interactive effects of three levels of intensity of both stressors, using a full 120

factorial design, and 2) to identify early changes in plant attributes (i.e. 121

morphological/growth, physiological/biochemical, and expression of stress-related genes) 122

that may serve as signals of imminent shoot density collapse (early warnings of 123

degradation). In general, response time and sensitivity to stressors vary with the type of 124

variable examined; thus, understanding how sensitivity to stressors may change according 125

to the level of biological organization is essential to rationalise the choice of indicators of 126

impending seagrass decline and to design monitoring programmes (Roca et al. 2016). 127

Indicator specificity is expected to increase when moving towards lower levels of biological 128

organisation (sensu, Whitham et al. 2006), from the structural metrics to specific 129

physiological and molecular indicators (Adams and Greeley, 2000). Whether this general 130

rule holds for P. oceanica remains utterly unexplored. 131

2. Materials and Methods 132

2.1. Study site 133

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The study was carried out in a shallow (5-8 m deep) continuous P. oceanica 134

meadow, on the north-west coast of Sardinia (40°34.1 N, 09°8.5 E). At this site, P. 135

oceanica canopy structure in the inner meadow is well preserved (shoot density mean±SE

136

= 699.4±38.6 m-2, n=28; canopy height mean±SE = 63.92±1.94 cm, n=35). At the site, the 137

grazing sea urchin, Paracentrotus lividus, is present at low densities, whilst juveniles of the 138

herbivore fish, Sarpa salpa, are common (GC, personal observations). 139

2.2. Experimental design and set up 140

The experiment started on the 29th of April 2015 and lasted until P. oceanica shoot 141

mortality exceeded 60% in some treatments (i.e. 11 weeks, see Results). The hypotheses 142

were tested by running a fully-factorial experiment of sediment burial (high, medium and 143

control) and nutrient enhancement (high, medium and ambient) treatments. Twenty-seven 144

circular patches (hereafter referred to as experimental units) were randomly selected 145

across the seagrass meadow, at least 3 m apart one from another. Within each unit, a 146

PVC cylinder (40 cm in height and diameter) was inserted about 10 cm deep into the 147

bottom, thus leaving about 30 cm of the cylinder above the sediment (Fig. S1). Each 148

cylinder enclosed between 81 and 109 P. oceanica shoots. 149

High, medium and control burial (HB, MB and CB) were obtained by adding 12.5 L, 150

5.0 L and 0 L of sediment (corresponding to a layer 10 cm, 4 cm and 0 cm tick), 151

respectively accordingly with Manzanera et al. (2011). We used washed sand for 152

playgrounds in our experiment, as this sand is similar in grain size (coarse sand, 0-1 mm) 153

and mineralogy (carbonate) to sediment at the study site. This ensured that all 154

experimental units were treated with the sand characterized by the same granulometry, 155

devoid of fauna and low in organic content. Depending on the treatment, P. oceanica 156

plants were buried with 4 cm of sediment over the ligula in HB, at the ligula height in MB, 157

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and unburied in CB. When scuba divers filled experimental units with sand, care was taken 158

not to damage the leaves and to keep the plants upright during the process. 159

Also, high, medium and ambient nutrients (HN, MN and AN) were obtained by adding 160

80 g, 40 g and 0 g of homogenized fish fodder (protein 56.66%, fat 24.88%, cellulose 161

5.53%, ash 9.4%, phosphorous 1.35%, calcium 1.73% and sodium 0.46%) to the sediment 162

in each unit. Treatment levels were decided on the basis of nutrient release from offshore

163

fish farms (Garcìa-Sanz et al. 2010). Fish fodder was used to simulate effects of

164

eutrophication related to land and coastal use change (from deforestation to aquaculture), 165

which often increases the organic matter and nutrients input into coastal sediments. The 166

use of fish fodder not only increases ammonium levels through mineralization, but also 167

fuels the production of sulfide (Burkholder et al. 2007). Sulfide is a strongly phytotoxic 168

compound, as it blocks the activity of cytochrome oxidase and other metal containing 169

enzymes, which may lead to massive seagrass die-offs (Govers et al. 2014). 170

Each unit was randomly assigned to one of the six combinations of treatments (n=3). 171

Three extra cylinders with large holes and not exposed to either sediment or fish fodder 172

addition were used as procedural controls. The outer edge of all units was not parted off 173

and a trans-cylinder clonal integration between shoots was not impeded with the aim not 174

to impose further stress on shoots. The effects of the experimental conditions on shoot 175

survival were evaluated every few weeks (see section 2.3.2) with the aim of catching the 176

shoot mortality of about 20% and 60% in the harshest treatments that had corresponded 177

to week 3 and 11. Then, to identify indicators of mortality, shoot survival at week 11 was 178

related with morphological, physiological/biochemical variables and expression of stress-179

related genes, estimated at week 3. 180

2.3. Data collection and analyses 181

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2.3.1. Assessment of trophic enrichment 182

In order to estimate concentrations of inorganic nutrients, samples were taken from 183

the water column at two dates chosen at random during the experiment (week 7 and 11). 184

At each date, two replicate water samples were taken in each unit using a 125-mL sterile 185

bottle about 5 cm above P. oceanica rhizomes. Samples were shaken and then filtered 186

(0.45 μm mesh size) as soon as they were brought to the surface. Samples were frozen in 187

liquid nitrogen for transportation to the laboratory, where concentrations of ammonia, 188

nitrate, nitrite and ortophosphate were determined using a continuous-flow AA3 189

AutoAnalyzer (Bran-Luebbe) and expressed in μmol l–1. Concentrations of dissolved 190

inorganic nitrogen (DIN, ammonia+nitrate+nitrite) and phosphorus (DIP as P-PO43-) were 191

analysed by means of two one-way analyses of variance (ANOVA) testing the effect of 192

Nutrient enrichment (3 levels, HN, MN and AN) on the pooled data taken in each unit 193

(n=18). Cochran's C-test was used before each analysis to check for homogeneity of 194

variance, and data were transformed when necessary. SNK test was used for a posteriori 195

means comparisons (Underwood 1997). 196

2.3.2. P. oceanica survival 197

P. oceanica shoot density was counted at week 0, 3, 7, 9 and 11 to estimate shoot

198

survival (assessed as the percentage of shoots with leaves) through time. Shoot survival 199

(%) after 3 and 11 weeks was analysed by means of two 2-way analyses of variance 200

(ANOVA), including the factors Burial (3 levels, HB, MB and CB, fixed) and Nutrient 201

addition (3 levels, HN, MN and AN) both fixed and orthogonal (n=3). Cochran's C-test was 202

used before each analysis to check for homogeneity of variance and data were 203

transformed when necessary (Underwood 1997). 204

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To evaluate the effects of procedural controls (PC), P. oceanica shoot survival at 205

week 3 and 11 was also analysed by two one-way ANOVAs (PC vs. CBAN, n=3). 206

Cochran's C-test and SNK test were run as explained above. 207

2.3.3. P. oceanica morphological/growth and physiological/biochemical variables 208

Six morphological variables (epiphyte load, % of leaves with necrosis, maximum leaf 209

length, mean leaf length, number of leaves, shoot biomass), leaf growth rate, and eleven 210

physiological/biochemical variables (leaf N, C and S content and corresponding isotopic 211

signature 15N, 13C, 34S, the antioxidant capacity through the oxygen radical absorbance 212

capacity, ORAC, Trolox equivalent antioxidant capacity, TEAC and phenolics) (Table 1) 213

were estimated after 3 weeks, when shoot mortality was still inconspicuous (see Results). 214

Selection of these variables was based on the review made by Roca et al. (2016). 215

Among the morphological variables, epiphyte load was estimated as the weight of the 216

epiphytes obtained from scraping the shoots with a razor blade (referred to the total weight 217

of scraped leaves). The incidence of leaf necrosis was estimated as the percentage of 218

leaves showing marks of necrosis (black areas or spots). Leaf growth rate was assessed 219

using a modified leaf punching technique. At the beginning of the experiment, three shoots 220

per unit were marked by punching a hole just above the leaf base-leaf blade junction of the 221

outermost leaf with a hypodermic needle, and tagged with a plastic cable tie. After 20 222

days, the punched shoots were collected and the length of the newly produced tissue in 223

each shoot measured. 224

Among the physiological/biochemical variables, ORAC, TEAC and phenolics were 225

extracted in frozen leaf tissue samples as described in Costa et al. (2005) and estimated 226

following Huang et al (2002), Re et al. (1999), and Folin-Ciocalteu method (Booker and 227

Miller 1998, Migliore et al. 2007), respectively. Leaf N, C, and S (%) were determined in 228

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samples of ca. 3.5 mg of dried, finely ground and homogenized material from each unit. 229

Leaf N, C and S isotopic signature, was analysed through elemental analyser combustion 230

for continuous flow isotope ratio mass spectroscopy. 231

Effects of Burial (3 levels, HB, MB and CB, fixed) and Nutrients (3 levels, HN, MN 232

and AN) on morphological/growth and physiological/biochemical variables (n=3) at week 3 233

were analysed by means of two 2-way analyses of variance (ANOVA). Cochran's C-test 234

was used before each analysis to check for homogeneity of variance (Underwood 1997). 235

2.3.4. P. oceanica expression of stress-related genes 236

The expression of ten stress-related genes (GADPH, SHSP, HSP90, PGK, CAB-151, 237

psbD, psbA, CA-chl, rbcl, and ATPa), (Table 1) were estimated after 3 weeks. At this aim 238

three shoots for each experimental unit were collected after 3 weeks of treatment. A 4 cm 239

leaf segment from the youngest fully mature leaves of each shoot (usually the second-rank 240

leaf) was collected and rapidly cleaned from epiphytes with a razor blade, towel-dried and 241

immediately stored in RNAlater® tissue collection solution (Ambion, Life Technologies). 242

Samples were then transported to the laboratory, preserved one night at 4 ◦C and stored 243

at −20 ◦C until RNA extraction. 244

After total RNA extraction (Mazzuca et al. 2013), RNA quantity and purity were 245

assessed by Nanodrop (ND-1000 UV-Vis spectrophotometer; NanoDrop Technologies) 246

and 1% agarose gel electrophoresis. Average Abs260/280 nm and Abs260/230 nm ratios

247

(2.0 and 1.8, respectively) have indicated the absence of protein and solvent

248

contaminations, while gel electrophoresis has showed intact RNA, with sharp ribosomal

249

bands. Total RNA (500 ng) was reverse-transcribed in complementary DNA (cDNA) with

250

the iScript™ cDNA Synthesis Kit (Bio-Rad) using the GeneAmp PCR System 9700 (Perkin 251

Elmer). 252

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The target genes were selected on the basis of the two key events that mandatorily 253

occur in the light and dark reactions of photosynthesis and can be hampered by biotic and

254

abiotic stressful conditions, reducing plant productivity and survival (Ashraf and Harris,

255

2013). In light reactions, light energy is harvested by antenna pigments, channelled to

256

photosystem II (PSII) to produce photochemistry and converted into chemical energy (i.e. 257

ATP) and reducing power (i.e. NAPDH) by the flow of electrons along the electron 258

transport chain. Particularly, we have selected and analyzed genes coding for a putative 259

fundamental protein of the photosynthetic antenna complex (CAB-151): the two PSII core 260

proteins D1 and D2 (psbA and psbD) and a putative chloroplastic ATP synthase subunit 261

alpha (ATPa). In dark reactions, CO2 is fixed into carbohydrates in the Calvin-Benson 262

cycle by using ATP and NADPH produced in the light reactions. In relation to this cycle, we 263

have selected several putative genes encoding key enzymes of the plant carbon 264

metabolism: the large subunit of the RuBisCO (rbcl), directly involved in CO2 fixation, and 265

a chloroplast carbonic anhydrase (CA-chl) that catalyzes the conversion of HCO -3 into 266

CO2. We also selected two major enzymes involved in glycolysis, glyceraldehyde-3-267

phosphate dehydrogenase (GAPDH) and phosphoglycerate kinase (PGK), for obtaining 268

energy and carbon molecules from glucose. Finally, two general stress genes were also 269

included in the analysis as they are ubiquitous heat stress proteins in environmental 270

stress: the molecular chaperone (HSP90) and one putative small heat shock protein 271

(SHSP). All selected genes were already investigated in other studies (Table S1). Primers 272

sequences and GenBank Accession Numbers are reported in the reference in which the 273

genes have been selected for the first time. The expression stability of a set of three 274

putative reference genes already tested in P. oceanica (i.e. EF1A, 18S and L23; Serra et 275

al. 2012) was evaluated by running GeNorm (Vandesompele et al. 2002) and Normfinder

276

(Andersen et al. 2004). According to stability analysis, two genes, namely 18S and L23 277

(Fig. S2), were used to normalize gene expression data. 278

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After normalizing by each primer efficiency (all >0.92% and R2>0.96), relative 279

treatment gene expression values were calculated as the negative differences in cycles to 280

cross the threshold value (-ΔCT) between the reference genes and the respective target 281

genes (-CT = CTreference - CTtarget). Subsequently, fold expression changes were 282

calculated for graphical purposes according to the equation: fold expression change = ± 283

2(│(-ΔCTtreatment)-(-ΔCTcontrol)│). 284

Effects of Burial (3 levels, HB, MB and CB, fixed) and Nutrients (3 levels, HN, MN 285

and AN) on the relative expression of target genes (-CT values; n=3) were analysed by 286

means of 2-way analyses of variance (ANOVA). Cochran's C-test was used before each 287

analysis to check for homogeneity of variance (Underwood 1997). 288

2.3.5. Assessment of the predictive variables 289

In order to identify predictors of shoot survival of P. oceanica under different 290

combinations of burial and nutrients enhancement levels, separate multiple regressions 291

were run between each of the four groups of response variables included in the study 292

(morphological/growth, antioxidant, isotopes, and gene expression) and shoot survival. 293

More specifically, values of explanatory variables measured at week 3 were used as 294

predictors of shoot survival at week 11. Collinearity among covariates was assessed by 295

means of Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) procedures. Covariates with highest VIF values, 296

calculated using the R car package, were sequentially dropped from the model, until all 297

VIF values were smaller than 3, as recommended by Zuur et al. (2010). Linearity and 298

homogeneity of variances was visually checked by means of residual plots. Log 299

transformation of data was effective in enhancing homogeneity of variances. For each 300

group of variables, the best-fit model was selected by means of a stepwise procedure 301

(both directions) using the stepAIC function from the R MASS package (Venables and 302

Ripley 2002). This function selects the best model based on the Akaike Information 303

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Criteria. The relationship between plant survival and predictive variables retained by the 304

different best-fit models were visualized by means of partial regression plots, using the 305

function avPlots from the car package. The relative importance (as percentage) and 306

bootstrap confidence intervals of the explanatory variables retained in the best fit models 307

were assessed by means of the Lindemann-Merenda-Gold (lmg) method for calculating 308

sequentially weighted partial R2 (Lindeman et al. 1980), using the R “relaimpo” package 309

(Gromping 2006). This method calculates an average coefficient of partial determination 310

for each model permutation using the individual contribution of each explanatory variable. 311

3. Results 312

3.1. Inorganic nutrients and P. oceanica survival 313

The addition of fish fodder to sediments resulted in a significant increase of DIN 314

concentration in the water column above rhizomes (F2,51=10.93 p=0.0001; Fig. 1); as 315

shown by the SNK tests, the increment in DIN was proportional to the amount of fodder 316

added (HN>MN>AN). By contrast, there were no significant differences in DIP among 317

treatments (F2,51=3.08 p=0.0547). 318

The comparison between CBAN and PC shows that there was no artefact of PVC 319

cylinders on shoot mortality at both week 3 (F1,4=0.25 p=0.6430) and week 11 (F1,4=0.04 320

p=0.8554) (Fig. 2). P. oceanica shoot survival was significantly affected by sand burial, as 321

about the 25% of shoots died by week 3 in the HB units (Fig. 2 and Table 2, HB<MB=CB). 322

Burial was the only stressor affecting mortality of the seagrass in the short-term (3 weeks). 323

After that, shoot survival decreased through time and, after 11 weeks, it was regulated by 324

the interactive effects of nutrient addition and burial (Table 2; Fig. 2). In units exposed to 325

high burial, shoot survival under high and intermediate nutrients addition was lower than at 326

ambient nutrient levels (HBHN=HBMN<HBAN). In contrast, shoot survival was not affected 327

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by nutrients levels in units exposed to either medium or ambient burial (SNK tests in Table 328

2). At high nutrients levels, shoot survival was lower in units exposed to high than medium 329

or ambient burial levels (HBHN<MBHN=CBHN). At medium nutrients levels, the survival 330

decreased with increasing severity of burial (HBMN<MBMN<CBMN), while at ambient 331

nutrient levels, there was no difference among burial treatments (Fig. 2 and Table 2, 332

CBAN=MBAN=HBAN). 333

Synergistic effects of both high and medium nutrients addition and high burial were 334

further assessed by comparing the average response of P. oceanica shoot survival (%), 335

both at each stressor level and at each combination of stressor levels, with those obtained 336

for the theoretical additive response of stressors levels in combination (Fig. 3). In fact, for 337

the average response given at high nutrient addition (HN), medium nutrient addition (MN), 338

and high burial (HB) when applied individually, the cumulative effects under additive 339

conditions (HN+HB and MN+HB) on shoot survival would have been about two fold higher 340

than that observed (Fig. 3). The difference in shoot survival between the average 341

experimental evidence and the theoretical additive estimates provides evidence for the 342

synergism between nutrient (high and medium) and burial (high) stressors. 343

3.2. P. oceanica predictive variables 344

After three weeks since treatments, nutrient addition changed epiphyte load, necrosis 345

and leaf growth rate, among morphological/growth variables, phenolics and the antioxidant 346

response, ORAC and TEAC, among the physiological variables. However, there was no 347

significant effect of nutrient enrichment on isotopes or gene expression, except for the 348

stress gene HSP90, which experienced a slight inactivation (Fig. 4, 5, 6 and Table 3). In 349

contrast, burial significantly increased epiphyte load and affected gene expression of 350

GADPH, PGK, psbA, CA-chl and ATPa (Table 3). 351

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The only variables that responded to the interactive effects of nutrient addition and 352

burial were the percentage of leaf necrosis and phenolics content, being one the mirror 353

pattern of the other (Table 3): the first was significantly greater at high nutrient levels when 354

plants were exposed to high burial (HN>MN=AN) and at high burial levels if plants were at 355

ambient nutrients levels (HB>MB=CB), while the latter was smaller at high nutrients levels 356

condition only when plants were exposed to HB (HN<MN=AN), and in high buried plants 357

only at HN (HB<MB=CB). 358

The multiple regressions conducted with genetic, isotope, antioxidant and 359

morphological covariates explained the 60.6%, 33.2%, 36.4% and 27.8% (Adjusted R2

360

values) of the variance in shoot survival, respectively (Table 4). After simplification through 361

the step-wise procedure, the best fit model at the level of gene expression included two 362

explanatory variables, CA-chl and ATPa, although only the effects of the former was 363

significant, contributing nearly for 84% of the variation in shoot mortality explained by the 364

model (Table 5; Fig. 6). The positive estimate of CA-chl suggests that overexpression of 365

this gene at week 3 is positively correlated with shoot survival at week 11 (Fig. S3). CA-chl 366

is directly related with carbon metabolism (correlated to PGK and GADPH) and was, in 367

fact, down-regulated in treatments, such as HBHN and HBMN (SNK test, Table 6), where 368

P. oceanica had the lowest survival. ATPa is a gene involved in the photosynthesis

369

(correlated to psbA and psbD) and was up-regulated in high burial treatments (Fig. 6 and 370

Table 6). 371

Four explanatory variables were retained in the best fit isotope model and only one of 372

these, namely leaf 34S, was significantly related with shoot survival at 11 weeks and 373

accounted for about 50% of the total variation in shoot survival explained by the model 374

(Table 4). However, although leaf 34S was positively (Fig. S4) related with shoot survival, 375

the ANOVA did not identify any significant effect neither of nutrient addition nor of burial on 376

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leaf 34S content (Table 3). The best fit antioxidant model retained two variables, ORAC 377

and phenolic content, both of which were significantly correlated with shoot survival. 378

Phenolic contents accounted for a greater proportion (~63%) than ORAC (~37%) of the 379

total variability in shoot mortality explained by the model (Table 4). Coefficient estimates 380

were negative for ORAC and positive for phenolics (Fig. S5). 381

The morphological/growth best fit model retained 3 variables, epiphyte load, shoot 382

biomass and growth (Table 4). The former variable accounted for most of the total 383

variation in shoot survival explained by the model (~77%, Table 5). The negative estimate 384

of the relationship coefficients (Table 4) indicates that increasing levels of epiphytic 385

loading at week 3 were associated with lower shoot survival at week 11 (Fig. S6). Plants 386

that had grown more in the first three weeks had greater chances of be alive at week 11. 387

DISCUSSION 388

4.1. Synergistic effects of nutrients and burial on P. oceanica mortality 389

P. oceanica shoot survival was affected by synergistic effects of burial and nutrient

390

addition over a short time. High sediment load (HB), corresponding to the complete burial 391

of meristems, increased seagrass mortality independently of the organic load in just three 392

weeks. Apparently, HB was the only level strong enough to cause rapid seagrass 393

mortality. 394

Over a longer term, burial and nutrient enrichment had interactive, negative effects 395

on P. oceanica survival. In particular, high nutrients levels (HN) had the potential to 396

accelerate the regression of the seagrass subjected to high burial. The use of a gradient of 397

both stressors, manipulated in a crossed design, has also allowed detecting the rapid 398

threshold responses to their combinations. Thus, by week 11, HB in combination with 399

either HN or MN, caused a shoot loss of about 60%. In addition, the slow decrease in 400

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shoot survival under high burial without organic loading (HBAN), suggests that mortality at 401

HB was determined by the level of nutrient load, from the fastest at HN to the slowest at 402

AN. 403

Total shoot mortality did not occur within 11 weeks since the start of the experiment, 404

even under the most stressful conditions and it is unknown whether it would have occurred 405

on a longer term. However, several mechanisms may underpin the survival of some 406

shoots within experimental plots. First, the clonal integration with neighbouring shoots 407

immediately outside the unit edge: continuity between shoots was not prevented to avoid 408

further stress that would have biased the response of the plants. Thus, transfer of 409

metabolites (e.g. carbohydrates) from non-treated plants may have sustained the survival 410

of plants experimentally exposed to stressful conditions. Second, burial effect might have 411

not been homogeneous among shoots within each experimental unit, as rhizome height 412

varied among them and samples were only three-replicated. Third, individual response to 413

stress can differ. Differences in resilience can be related to individual characteristics (e.g. 414

age) of single ramets or to genetic peculiarities of single genets. More resilient genotypes 415

could respond better to the synergistic action of the applied stressors (Hughes and 416

Randall 2004). 417

4.2. Predictive variables of P. oceanica collapse 418

The protraction of the experiment for 11 weeks allowed detecting widespread 419

mortality in experimental units exposed to HBHN and HBMN. Thus, besides the 420

identification of lethal effects of burial and eutrophication on P. oceanica, our study 421

enabled the identification of the plant attributes (morphological/growth, 422

physiological/biochemical and transcriptomic) at week 3, prior to mortality, related to 423

survival at week 11. 424

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4.2.1. Morphological/growth variables 425

Except for the increase in epiphyte load, changes in morphological variables and 426

growth rate were little effective in predicting seagrass loss (Table 6). An increase in 427

epiphyte biomass, especially macroalgae, is a common response to eutrophic conditions 428

(Piazzi et al. 2016) and the ratio between epiphyte and leaf biomass in P. oceanica is one 429

of the descriptors used to assess the ecological quality of Mediterranean water bodies 430

under the European Water Framework Directive (Gobert et al. 2009, Oliva et al. 2012). 431

Our study shows that the epiphyte load can be used also as an indicator of burial stress, 432

as probably a consequence of lower phenolics content in the buried plants (Costa et al. 433

2015). Furthermore, signals of imminent mortality can also be gained by the percent of 434

leaves with necrosis; leaf necrosis has been previously suggested to increase with 435

eutrophication (Roca et al. 2016). Here, a higher proportion of leaves exposed to both high 436

burial and both high and medium nutrient addition had necrotic spots which were not 437

uniformly distributed along the blades, being mostly concentrated on the basal part of the 438

leaf. Finally, leaf growth was accelerated by nutrient addition, but was not related to burial, 439

suggesting that this variable is inadequate for predicting imminent seagrass degradation 440

due to the combination of stressors. 441

4.2.2. Physiological/biochemical variables 442

Based on the multiple regressions, the biochemical/physiological variables 443

associated with the P. oceanica survival, were the phenolic content, ORAC and 34S.

444

Among these, only phenolics are likely to be a useful predictor (positive coefficient), since 445

differences in their concentration were also related to the interactive effect of nutrient 446

addition and burial (Table 6). Phenolics can have multiple biological functions mainly 447

related to the reproductive strategy, adaptation and survival to environmental 448

disturbances, antimicrobial and antifouling properties. Their deposition as lignin in cell 449

(19)

walls increases their mechanical strength and improves plant response against pathogens 450

and wounding. Variations in phenolics content have been observed in P. oceanica as a 451

response to changes in water quality and when competing with invasive species (Pergent 452

et al. 2008, Migliore et al. 2007, Rotini et al. 2013).

453

Furthermore, ORAC, which reflects the ability of the plant metabolism to scavenge 454

oxygen reactive species (ROS, Mittler, 2002) through hydrogen atom donation (both 455

enzymatically and non-enzymatically), was negatively associated with P. oceanica 456

survival, and shoots with higher ORAC will have higher probability of mortality for the high 457

concentrations of ROS. However, it only responded to nutrient addition (Table 6). 458

Furthermore, the 34S content (positive coefficient) would suggest that the presence of

459

sulphide intrusion in leaf tissue, lower leaf 34S signature, could predict greater shoot 460

survival (Table S4). However, this isotopic signal did not respond uniformly to any 461

treatment, probably due to the sediment type (i.e. coarse-carbonate sediments, Oliva 462

2012): indeed, the relationship between sediment sulfide and the 34S of P. oceanica

463

tissues is known to be rather complex being controlled both by the sediment sulfide 464

concentrations and the oxygen status of the plants (Borum et al. 2005). Because of the 465

high variability, the use of 34S as an indicator for fish farm effects on P. oceanica has

466

already not been supported (Frederiksen et al. 2007). Therefore, among the 467

biochemical/physiological variables only results in leaf phenolics content are promising 468

enough to promote it as an indicator of nutrient and burial stressors of P. oceanica (Table 469

6). 470

4.2.3. Expression of selected genes 471

Gene expression of target genes had the highest correlation with shoot survival. 472

Photosynthetic genes (ATPa, psbD and psbA) were up-regulated in response to high 473

burial suggesting that high sediment load tends to increase the number of PSII and ATP 474

(20)

synthase, probably to compensate for high energy consumption. By contrast, carbon 475

metabolism genes (CA-chl, PGK and GADPH) were down-regulated, being associated 476

with plant survival. In particular, the experimental treatments significantly affected the 477

ability of plants to fix C and recycle ATP through glucolysis or gluconeogenesis, as 478

suggested by the significant down-regulation of PGK. This response is likely to result in a 479

long-term starvation of the plants, likely contributing to the high mortality observed in these 480

treatments. In other words, burial produced a strong effect on the carbon metabolism of 481

plants, reducing carbon fixation and the production of energy: buried plants invested 482

energy to increase the amount of PSII and ATP synthase to sustain the thylacoid proton 483

gradient necessary to produce more ATP. Further, because HSP90 is an ATP-dependent 484

molecular chaperone it is possible that a strong ATP reduction experienced by plants from 485

the most intense treatments resulted in lower expression levels of this gene. It is also 486

known that inhibition of HSP90 induced cell death in plants (Nishizawa-Yokoi et al. 2010; 487

Moshe et al. 2016) and, likely, the observed down-regulation is promoting and anticipating 488

plant mortality two months in advance. 489

4.3. Conclusions 490

This study has estimated that P. oceanica shoot survival strongly depends on the 491

interactive effects of levels of intensity of nutrients and burial and it has identified some 492

early changes in plant attributes. Within the whole set of possible predictors of seagrass 493

collapse, only a few were associated with shoot survival (with different contribution to the 494

total variability) and these did not necessarily correspond to those affected by the 495

treatments (Table 6). Furthermore, they were attributed to a different reliability level based 496

on the association to shoot survival. Overall, the evaluation of the candidate indicators of 497

P. oceanica regression for the consequences of high organic load and sediment burial has

498

produced some very promising evidence for the gene CA-chl, and secondly of ATPa, while 499

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phenolics and epiphyte load are likely to be less reliable predictors. Thus, the sensitivity of 500

P. oceanica attributes to these stressors has increased as the level of biological

501

organization decreases (according to expectations, Roca et al. 2016), underlining the 502

importance of implementing monitoring protocols with biochemical and molecular 503

indicators. However, high-replicated studies that include different field conditions (e.g. 504

sediment type, wave exposure) are needed so that consistency of variables’ response 505

would be estimated and solid predictors incorporation promoted in any kind of 506

management program (i.e. assessment of ecosystem status, environmental quality, 507

impacts or the results of mitigation actions). 508

Nevertheless, no morphological change of shoot or leaf size should be expected after 509

a severe storm or flood that accumulates high loads of sediments, rich in organic matter, 510

over a P. oceanica bed; these attributes are likely to be reliable warnings only of pressing 511

disturbances over a longer temporal scale (Roca et al. 2016). Consequently, if other levels 512

of biological organization besides the morphological are not considered, the seagrass 513

collapse without early warning signals (Pace et al. 2015). Our results indicate that the 514

interaction between two of the main regional anthropogenic stressors in temperate coastal 515

ecosystems, eutrophication and high sediment loads (the deposition of organic detritus 516

likely brings with it increased sediments, Terrados et al. 1999), can trigger the fast collapse 517

of seagrass meadows without any major phenological change. 518

In the growing interest of identifying the type and role of interactions among local 519

anthropogenic stressors in driving habitat shifts in marine ecosystems (Russell and 520

Connell 2012), this controlled factorial experiment provides evidence that eutrophication 521

and burial have non-additive consequences on seagrass beds. The input of excess 522

nutrients (primarily nitrate and phosphate) to the marine environment is a global problem 523

associated with a range of human activities, but coastal eutrophication through organic 524

(22)

matter dispersal represents a further source of disturbance. In fact, the addition of a 525

detrital layer to a seagrass bed will not just result in increased dissolved inorganic nutrients 526

to the sediments, it will have a whole stimulatory impact upon the microbial, fungal and 527

detrital feeding community (Danovaro et al. 1994). A likely additional effect of increased 528

organic detritus is that of increasing the levels of sulphide stress within the sediments with 529

follow-up negative effects upon the seagrass (Marbà et al. 2006). Indirectly, our results 530

provide strong evidence suggesting that development of coastal areas and their 531

associated human activities will have major impacts on the seagrass meadows and such 532

information should be used to identify appropriate local management actions to halt the 533

global loss of seagrasses in favour of alternative habitats composed by either macroalgae 534

or anoxic mud (Unsworth et al. 2015). 535

Finally, local anthropogenic stressors are thought to negatively interact with global 536

climatic stressors resulting in decline of many habitats, such as coral reefs, macroalgal 537

forests, mangroves and seagrasses. These findings suggest that shifts from seagrass 538

systems to dead rhizomes (i.e. dead matte) in areas characterized by poor water quality, 539

may become more common under future scenarios of climate change (Garcia et al. 2013), 540

as frequency and intensity of storms and floods are expected to increase. 541

Because our study has demonstrated that the effects of nutrients and sediment burial 542

on seagrasses are synergistic, strategies for reducing nutrient levels, a widely advocated 543

strategy for seagrass conservation, should be pursued bearing in mind the need to control 544

also sedimentation rates. Local management of nutrient loading can represent a valid tool 545

for mitigating the impacts of global stressors on marine macrophytes (Falkenberg et al. 546

2010). Our study shows that reducing nutrient loading may be not sufficient to enhance the 547

resistance of seagrasses to global stressors, such as seawater warming (NOAA 2016). 548

Given the cumulative nature of human impacts and the large small-scale variation in life-549

(23)

traits occurring in coastal environments, one size fits all strategies are unlikely be 550

successful for sustaining the functioning of marine ecosystems in the face of climate 551

changes. In addition, our study makes a first step towards the identification of response 552

variables that may function as early warning signals of imminent seagrass collapse. It also 553

provides evidence for increased indicator specificity at lower levels of biological 554

organisation, promoting the need of implementing monitoring with molecular analyses. As 555

a final note of caution, the robustness of the response variables identified as most 556

promising must be assessed against variations in stressor intensity and background 557

abiotic and biotic conditions before their implementation in monitoring programs. 558

Acknowledgements 559

Analyses were performed at the Servizos de Apoio á Investigación-Universidade da 560

Coruña (Leaf N, Leaf C, and corresponding isotopic signatures), Iso-Analytical Ltd (Leaf S 561

and leaf 34S). We are grateful to Capo Caccia-Isola Piana MPA administration for 562

facilitating the samplings within their domains. This research was supported by MIUR, the 563

Italian Ministry of Education and Research, (TETRIS grant 2011-2015) and by Fondazione 564

di Sardegna (EIMS grant 2016-2019). PG acknowledges the support of S. Porrello and E. 565

Persia at ISPRA laboratories for water nutrient analysis. 566

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