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Valuing the economic impact of D. suzukii on soft fruit industry in Trentino (Italy)

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Giorgio De Ros, Sandro Conci, Tommaso Pantezzi, Gianluca Savini

Valuing the economic impact of D. suzukii

on soft fruit industry in Trentino (Italy)

(2)

Merriam-Webster Online

(3)

Field of application:

Impact assessment on four host crops

Range of impacts:

Direct impacts

Data used:

Business data

(4)

… the

economic

impact of D. suzukii ….

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 2010 2011 2012 2013 Year % o f a ff e c te d s a m p le s

(5)

… on soft fruit industry in Trentino

Crop

Avg yearly output 2007-2009 Quantity (tons) Price (€/kg) Value (€) Strawberry 4,167 3.37 14,031,435 Raspberry 669 7.91 5,288,781 Blackberry 553 4.38 2,403,823 Blueberry 689 4.99 3,437,482 TOTAL 25,715,313

Source: Statistical Service of the Autonomous Province of Trento

(6)

Ex ante reference

Crop

Avg yearly output Quantity (tons) Price* (€/kg) Value (€) Strawberry 4,167 2.87 11,938,661 Raspberry 669 7.08 4,735,710 Blackberry 553 4.47 2,472,287 Blueberry 689 4.99 3,437,482 TOTAL 22,584,140

*

Average price at farm gate in the period 2010-2013

Source: Statistical Service of the Autonomous Province of Trento

(7)

Crop

Avg yearly output

Yearly revenue losses (€) Quantity (tons) Price (€/kg) Value (€) Strawberry 4,167 2.87 11,938,661 426,784 Raspberry 669 7.08 4,735,710 544,408 Blackberry 553 4.47 2,472,287 461,179 Blueberry 689 4.99 3,437,482 1,430,285

TOTAL

22,584,140

2,954,254

Source: our elab.

Revenue losses

(8)

Treatments

Mass trapping

Field sanitation

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Crop

Avg yearly output

Revenue losses 2012 Revenue losses 2013 Revenue losses (2012-13) Quantity (tons) Price (€/kg) Value (€) Strawberry 4,167 2.87 11,938,661 139,315 203,685 171,500 Raspberry 669 7.08 4,735,710 135,962 170,830 153,396 Blackberry 553 4.47 2,472,287 246,452 244,052 245,252 Blueberry 689 4.99 3,437,482 417,778 556,951 487,364

TOTAL

22,584,140 1,031,104 1,267,116

1,149,110

Source: our elab.

Revenue losses

(10)

Crop Treatment Application rate Cost x ha (€) Area (Ha) Treatment cost (€) (cl/hl) hl/ha Strawberry Deltamethrin 50 15 35.3 128 4,518 lambda-Cyahlothrin 25 15 60.0 7,680 Raspberry Deltamethrin 50 15 70.6 93 9,849 Spinosad 25 15 180.0 16,740 Blackberry Deltamethrin 50 15 105.9 33 3,495 Spinosad 25 15 180.0 5,940 Blueberry Phosmet 250 15 223.5 70 10,430

TOTAL

58,652

Source: our elab.

(11)

Crop Treatment

Heavy mechanisation Light mechanisation No mechanisation

Application Costs (€) Time (hrs) Cost (€/h) Area (ha) Time (hrs) Cost (€/h) Area (ha) Time (hrs) Cost (€/h) Area (ha) Strawberry Deltamethrin 2 35,26 108,8 7,5 24,84 6,4 9 12,29 12,8 10.281 lambda-Cyahlothrin 2 35,26 108,8 7,5 24,84 6,4 9 12,29 12,8 10.281 Raspberry Deltamethrin 2 35,26 79,0 7,5 24,84 4,7 9 12,29 9,3 14.951 Spinosad 2 35,26 79,0 7,5 24,84 4,7 9 12,29 9,3 7.475 Blackberry Deltamethrin 2 35,26 28,0 7,5 24,84 1,7 9 12,29 3,3 16.867 Spinosad 2 35,26 28,0 7,5 24,84 1,7 9 12,29 3,3 5.622 Blueberry Phosmet 2 35,26 59,5 7,5 24,84 3,5 9 12,29 7.0 5.313

TOTAL

70.789

Source: our elab.

(12)

Crop Traps (nr/ha) Food bait cost (€/trap) Food bait changes (nr) Food bait cost (€/ha) Worktime (min/ha) Work cost (€/ha) Total cost (€/ha) Area (ha) Total cost (€) Strawberry (Junebear) 250 0.2 5 250 1875 234.38 484.38 64 31,000 Strawberry (Everbear) 250 0.2 12 600 4500 562.50 1162.50 64 74,400 Raspberry 250 0.2 7 350 2625 328.13 678.13 93 63,066 Blackberry 250 0.2 7 350 2625 328,13 678.13 33 22,378 Blueberry 250 0.2 5 250 1875 234.38 484.38 70 33,906

TOTAL

224,730

Source: our elab.

(13)

Crop Worktime (h/d) Days (nr) Work cost (€/h) Area (ha) Field sanitation and clean-up costs (€) Strawberry (Junebear) 1 75 7.5 64 36,000 Strawberry (Everbear) 1 45 7.5 64 21,600 Raspberry 1 75 7.5 93 52,313 Blackberry 1 75 7.5 33 18,563 Blueberry 1 45 7.5 70 23,625

TOTAL

152,100

Source: our elab.

(14)

Scenario

Economic impact (€)

Without management strategy

2,954,254

With a management strategy

1,655,381

Revenue losses 1,149,110

Treatment costs 58,652

Application costs 70,789

Mass trapping 224,730

Field clean-up 152,100

Source: our elab.

(15)

Scenario

Investment (€/ha) Duration (yrs) Depret. (€) Install./ Deinst. (h/ha) Work Cost (€/ha) Costs (€/ha) Area (ha)

Impact

(€)

Exclusion net

6,500 5 1.300 100 1,000 2,300 70

161,000

Without

management

strategy

1,430,285

With a

management

strategy

560,638

Source: our elab.

Cost of exclusion nets

on blueberry

(16)

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