COLON
Fotios Loupakis, MD PhD SuperNovae in Oncologia
Pisa, September 2017
Regione del Veneto
U.O.C. Oncologia Medica 1
Dipartimento di Oncologia Clinica e Sperimentale
Istituto Oncologico Veneto – IRCCS, Padova
ADJUVANT
3 vs 6
• Academic collaboration of clinicians and statisticians from six randomized phase III trials (12 countries)
– SCOT (UK, Denmark, Spain, Australia, Sweden, New Zealand),
TOSCA (Italy), Alliance/SWOG 80702 (US, Canada), IDEA France, ACHIEVE (Japan), HORG (Greece)
• Total of 12,834 patients with stage III disease included in analysis
– High number of patients needed to make sure with high confidence that we are not sacrificing efficacy of therapy for decreased toxicity
IDEA Concept
• Objective:
Reduce side-effects of therapy without giving up (too much) anti-cancer efficacy of therapy
• Non-inferiority design:
As agreed upon by patient advocates and oncologists, shorter duration of therapy should not sacrifice more than 12% of benefit of adjuvant therapy
In statistical terms: upper 95% confidence interval of Hazard Ratio (HR) of
disease free survival (DFS) should not exceed 1.12
Stage III Colon
Cancer R
3 months
6 months FOLFOX * or CAPOX *
* Investigator’s choice, no randomization
12,834 patients
DESIGN
FOLFOX CAPOX
Adverse Events 3m Arm 6m Arm p-value
13m Arm 6m Arm p-value
1Overall G2 G3-4
32%
38%
32%
57%
<.0001
41%
24%
48%
37%
<.0001
Neurotoxicity G2
G3-4
14%
3%
32%
16%
<.0001
12%
3%
36%
9%
<.0001
Diarrhea G2
G3-4
11%
5%
13%
7%
<.0001
10%
7%
13%
9%
0.0117
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
3m 6m
G2/3 G4
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
3m G2/3 6m
The Main Point
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Years from Randomization
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Years from Randomization 0
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Percent Without Event
6 Months 3 Months Duration
6424 5446 4464 3000 1609 826 321
6410 5530 4477 3065 1679 873 334
Duration 3-yr DFS
3m 74.6 %
6m 75.5 %
3-yr DFS diff. = -0.9% , 95% CI, (-2.4 to 0.6%)
N Patients At risk
DFS HR = 1.07 95% CI, 1.00 to 1.15
DFS results
Hazard Ratio 1.12
3m TRT better 6m TRT better
Not proven
1.0
Non-Inferiority Margin
Statistical Conclusions
DFS HR = 1.07 95% CI, 1.00 to 1.15
TRT: treatment
Primary EP: not met
Regimen
CAPOX FOLFOX
Risk group
Low-risk
(T1-3 N1)
~60% 3 months (3-) 6 months
High-risk
(T4 and/or N2)
~40%
3 (-6) months 6 months
IDEA: conclusions
3 yr DFS rate (%) and HR by regimen and
risk group
Regimen
CAPOX FOLFOX CAPOX/FOLFOX
combined
3 yr DFS, %
(95% CI) HR
(95%
CI)
3 yr DFS, %
(95% CI)
HR (95%
CI)
3 yr DFS, %
(95% CI)
HR (95%
CI)
3 m 6 m 3 m 6 m 3 m 6 m
Risk grou p
Low- risk
(T1-3 N1)
~60%
85.0
(83.1- 86.9)
83.1
(81.1- 85.2)
0.85
(0.71- 1.01)
81.9
(80.2- 83.6)
83.5
(81.9- 85.1)
1.10
(0.96- 1.26)
83.1
(81.8- 84.4)
83.3
(82.1- 84.6)
1.01
(0.90- 1.12)
High- risk (T4 and / or N2)
~40%
64.1
(61.3- 67.1)
64.0
(61.2- 67.0)
1.02
(0.89- 1.17)
61.5
(58.9- 64.1)
64.7
(62.2- 67.3)
1.20
(1.07- 1.35)
62.7
(60.8- 64.4)
64.4
(62.6- 66.4)
1.12
(1.03- 1.23)
Risk groups combin ed
75.9
(74.2- 77.6)
74.8
(73.1- 76.6)
0.95
(0.85- 1.06)
73.6
(72.2- 75.1)
76.0
(74.6- 77.5)
1.16
(1.06- 1.26)
P-value interaction test:
Regimen: 0.0061 Risk group: 0.11
Non-inferior Not proven Inferior
Regimen
CAPOX FOLFOX
Risk group
Low-risk
(T1-3 N1)
~60% 3 months (3-) 6 months
High-risk
(T4 and/or N2)
~40%
3 (-6) months 6 months
IDEA: conclusions
METASTATIC
IMMUNO
A new era
www.fda.org accessed on May 23rd, 2017
Nivolumab in Patients With DNA Mismatch Repair Deficient/Microsatellite Instability High Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: First Results From CheckMate 142
NIVO
Overman et al, Lancet Oncol 2017
• Primary endpoint: ORR per investigator assessment
• Secondary endpoint: ORR per blinded independent central review (BICR)
• Other endpoints: PFS, OS, biomarkers, safety and tolerability
Nivolumab 3 mg/kg Q2W
Stage 1a
• Histologically confirmed metastatic/recurrent CRC
• dMMR/MSI-H per local laboratory
• ≥ 1 prior line of therapy
Nivolumab 3 mg/kg Q2W
Stage 2b
Patients
Stage 2d Stage 1c
Nivolumab 3 mg/kg
+ ipilimumab 1 mg/kg Q3W for 4 doses
• Then nivolumab 3 mg/kg Q2W
Nivolumab 3 mg/kg
+ ipilimumab 1 mg/kg Q3W for 4 doses
• Then nivolumab 3 mg/kg Q2W
74 patients were treated in monotherapy stages 1 and 2
Study Design
Overman et al, Lancet Oncol in press
dMMR/MSI-H per Local Laboratory
(N = 74) BICR ORR, n (%)
95% CI
20 (27.0) 17.4, 38.6 Best overall response, n (%)
CR PR SD PD
Unable to determine
2 (2.7) 18 (24.3) 28 (37.8) 20 (27.0) 6 (11.1) Disease control for ≥ 12 weeks, n (%)
a46 (62.2)
Activity
Overman et al, Lancet Oncol 2017
Change in tumor burden over time
Overman et al, Lancet Oncol 2017
0 1 2 2 4 3 6 4 8 6 0 7 2 8 4 9 6 1 0 8 1 2 0
- 1 0 0 - 7 5 - 5 0 - 2 5 0 2 5 5 0 7 5 1 0 0
W e e k s
ChangeinSumofTargetLesionsSize(%)
O n
T r e a t m e n t O f f T r e a t m e n t
C o m p l e t e o r P a r t i a l R e s o p o n s e
F i r s t O c c u r r e n c e o f N e w L e s i o n
C h a n g e T r u n c a t e d t o 1 0 0 %
a
On treatment Off treatment CR or PR
First occurrence of new lesion
b b
Progression-Free Survival
Overman et al, Lancet Oncol 2017
PFS per Investigator Median [95% CI], months
12-month rate [95%
CI], %
9.6 [4.3, NE]
48.4 [33.6, 61.7]
PFS per BICR
12-month rate [95%
CI], % 45.6 [32.2, 58.1]
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24
Months
74 48 22 14 12 10 7 3 0
No. at risk 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Probability of PFS (%)a
Overman et al, Lancet Oncol 2017
Overall Survival
3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27
74 64 54 24 21 21 14 10 3 0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Probability of Survival (%)a
Median OS [95% CI], months
12-month OS rate [95%
CI], %
NR [17.1, NE]
73.8 [59.8, 83.5]
Months No. at risk
0
BRAF Mutation Status
Inves ti gat or -A ss es se d B es t C hang e in T ar get Lesi on S iz e (% )
Mutant Wild type
Impact of BRAF mut on response to Nivo
Overman et al, Lancet Oncol in press
Rare Intermediate Numerous
Investigator-Assessed Best Change in Target Lesion Size (%)
Abundance of PD-L1 Expressing Tumor- Associated Immune Cells
≥ 1%
< 1%
Investigator-Assessed Best Change in Target Lesion Size (%)
Tumor PD-L1 Expression
Impact of PD-L1 expression
Overman et al, Lancet Oncol in press
Overman et al, Lancet Oncol in press
Safety
Patients, n (%)
All Patients (N = 74)
Any grade Grade 3–4
Any TRAE 51 (68.9)
a15 (20.3)
TRAEs reported in ≥ 10% of patients
Fatigue Diarrhea Pruritus
Lipase increased Rash
17 (23.0) 16 (21.6) 10 (13.5) 9 (12.2) 8 (10.8)
1 (1.4) 1 (1.4)
0 6 (8.1)
0
NIVO+IPI
*Ongoing Response include responders who had neither progressed nor initiated subsequent therapy at the time of analysis and excludes responders censored prior to 8 weeks of the clinical data cutoff date if a patient is still in the first 24 weeks follow-up period, otherwise, the window is 14 weeks
Checkmate 142 Nivo+Ipi: study design
Overman et al, ASCO 2017
*Ongoing Response include responders who had neither progressed nor initiated subsequent therapy at the time of analysis and excludes responders censored prior to 8 weeks of the clinical data cutoff date if a patient is still in the first 24 weeks follow-up period, otherwise, the window is 14 weeks
Nivo+Ipi: main results
Overman et al, ASCO 2017
dMMR/MSI-H (N = 84)a Investigator
ORR, n (%)
[95% CI]
46 (54.8) [43.5, 65.7]
Best overall response, n (%) CR
PR SD PD
Not determined Not reported
2 (2.4) 44 (52.4) 26 (31.0) 9 (10.7)
2 (2.4) 1 (1.2)
Disease control for ≥ 12 weeks, n (%)
b66 (78.6)
Median TTR, months (range) 2.8 (1.1–14.0)
Median DOR, months, [95% CI] NR [0.0+, 15.9+]
Median PFS, months [95% CI], months NR [11.47–NE]
Median OS, months [95% CI] NR [NE–NE]
*Ongoing Response include responders who had neither progressed nor initiated subsequent therapy at the time of analysis and excludes responders censored prior to 8 weeks of the clinical data cutoff date if a patient is still in the first 24 weeks follow-up period, otherwise, the window is 14 weeks
Nivo+Ipi: waterfall plot
Overman et al, ASCO 2017
Nivolumab + Ipilimumab (N=84)
6 mo PFS rate, % [95% CI]
77.4 (66.5, 85.1)
Median PFS, mo [95% CI]
NA (11.47, NE)
No. events 21/84
Overman et al, ASCO 2017
Nivo+Ipi: Progression-free Survival
Nivolumab + Ipilimumab (N=84)
OS rate, % [95% CI]
6 mo 89.1 (80.2, 94.2
9 mo 87.6 (78.1, 93.1)
Median OS, mo [95%
CI]
NA (NE, NE)