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Marco Acutis a , Lodovico Alfieri a , Andrea Giussani a , Giorgio Provolo a ,

AndreaDiGuardo

b,g

,StefaniaColombini

c

,GianpaoloBertoncini

d

,MarcoCastelnuovo

d

,

GuidoSali

a

,MaurizioMoschini

e

,MattiaSanna

a

,AlessiaPerego

a

,MarcoCarozzi

f

,

MarcelloErmidoChiodini

a

,MattiaFumagalli

a,∗

aDepartmentofAgriculturalandEnvironmentalSciences–Production,Landscape,Agroenergy,UniversityofMilano,ViaCeloria2,20133Milano,Italy

bInformaticaambientaleS.r.l.,ViaTeodosio13,20131Milano,Italy

cDepartmentofAnimalScience,UniversityofMilano,ViaCeloria2,20133Milano,Italy

dRegioneLombardia,PiazzaCittàdiLombardia1,20124Milano,Italy

eInstituteofFoodScienceandNutrition,AgriculturalFaculty,CatholicUniversityofPiacenza,ViaEmiliaParmense84,29100Piacenza,Italy

fINRA,UMR1091,EnvironnementetGrandesCultures,F-78850Thiverval-Grignon,France

gDepartmentofEarthandEnvironmentalSciences,UniversityofMilanoBicocca,PiazzadellaScienza1,20126Milano,Italy

a r t i c l e i n f o

Articlehistory:

Received22October2013

Receivedinrevisedform19March2014 Accepted20May2014

Keywords:

Decisionsupportsystem GIS

Integratedevaluation Manuremanagement Multidisciplinaryindicators

a b s t r a c t

IntensiveagricultureandlivestockbreedingrepresentcriticalfactorsintheLombardyregionsincethe nitratevulnerablezonesare62%ofutilisedagriculturalplainarea.Theaimofreducingthe environmen-talriskcausedbyagricultureactivities(e.g.nitrogenlossesintogroundwaterandatmosphere)canbe onlyachievedthroughacriticalandscientificanalysisoflivestockmanuremanagementinawhole-farm perspective.Keepinginmindthisobjective,thedecisionsupportsystem(DSS)ValorEwasdeveloped.It canbedescribedasatoolabletoevaluatefromtheenvironmental,technical,agronomicandeconomic pointsofviewthemaincomponentsofmanuremanagement(production,storage,treatmentandland application)foravarietyoflivestocktypes(i.e.,cattle,swine,poultry,sheep,goatsandhorses),under differentscenariosadoptedatfarmandterritorialscale.ValorEconsistsofthreemaincomponents:data

managementsubsystem,modelmanagementsubsystemandtwoversionsofuser-interface,bothfor

farmandterritorialscale.MostoftheinputstotheDSScomesfromexternaldatabases,whileasoftware tooldevelopedinthe.NETenvironmentandimplementedusingobjectorientedprogramming(C# lan-guage),providesthelogictomanagethescenariosimulationofagronomicandenvironmentalfarm-scale models.Usersandstakeholderscancarryoutcomparativeanalysis,startingfromtheknowledgeofthe currentperspective,intermsofmanuremanagementsystematfarmorterritorialscalebyinterrogating theavailabledatabases.Moreover,theycangeneratedifferentalternativescenariosthankstodifferent optionsforthemanurehandlingandcroppingsystemsimulation.Thentheycanfinallyevaluateand comparedifferentscenariosthroughmultidisciplinaryandsyntheticindicatorsbutalsovisualisespatial effectsexploitingthecoupledwebGIS.ValorEisthereforeanattempttoofferacomprehensivetoolfor improvingbothfarmstrategyanddecisionmakingprocess,whichisparticularlyimportantinavery intensiveagriculturalarea,withoneofthehighestlivestockdensityintheworld,asLombardy.

©2014ElsevierLtd.Allrightsreserved.

∗ Correspondingauthor.Tel.:+390250316611;fax:+390250316575. E-mailaddress:[email protected](M.Fumagalli).

Introduction

Livestockproduction,responsibleofabigpartofagricultural landuseforgrazingandfeedproduction,determineserious envi-ronmentalproblemssuchasgreenhousegasemissions(Steinfeld etal.,2006)andemissionsofreactivenitrogen(N)inatmosphere

and water (Oenema, 2006). These problems are getting much

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2014.05.007

culturalpoliciesandregulationsforpreventingpollutionofland,air andwater.Thecoreofthelivestockproductionisthemanure man-agementfromtheanimalexcretiontothelandspreading,becauseit affectsboththequalityofsoil,air,waterandthecropgrowth,and consequentlyitbearsonthefarmincome.Theselectionof

live-stockmanuremanagement optionsis becomingastrategictask

thatfarmersandpublicpolicymakershavetohandleproperly.As presentedbyKarmakaretal.(2010),severaloptionsformanure collection,storageandlandapplicationareavailable.Moreover,as discussedbyPetersenetal.(2007)avarietyofmanuretreatments withaspecifictargethasbeendevelopedaswellasimprovements

inanimalnutrition tocontrolmanureproductionand

composi-tion.Consequently, beforeinvesting money, it is of paramount importancetogetasupporttoolthatcouldassiststakeholdersand farmersonidentification,evaluation,andselectionofthemore suit-ableoptionofthemanuremanagementforaspecificareaandaim. Infact,eachmanagementstrategyhasitsadvantagesand disad-vantageswhenconsideringenvironmental,agronomic,technical, energetic,costandlabourissues(Fumagallietal.,2012).

Adecision supportsystem(DSS) isaninteractive

computer-based system intended to help decision makers in using

communicationtechnologies,data,documents,knowledgeand/or

models to identify and solve problems, hence completing the

decisionprocesstaskswiththeoverallobjectiveofmaking

well-informed decisions (Power, 1997). Multiple examples of the

developmentandapplicationofDSSsinagricultureaddressinga varietyof domains, suchaspest management (Periniand Susi, 2004;Riparbellietal.,2008;Callieraetal.,2013),water manage-ment(Fassioetal.,2005;Pallottinoetal.,2003;Giupponi,2007; Acutisetal.,2010),agriculturallandmanagement(Mazzocchietal., 2013) and nutrientmanagement (Djodjicet al., 2002;Forsman etal.,2003;Deetal.,2004),areavailable.AsreviewedbyKarmakar etal.(2007)DSSsformanuremanagementareavailablebutmost

ofthemareaddressedtothenutrientmanagementinthe

agro-nomicplanningwithregardonlytotiming,amountandspreading method(Deetal.,2004;DeandBezuglov,2006).OnlyfewDSSs

con-siderthewhole-farmmanuremanagementfromtheproductionto

thelandapplicationprovidingsupporttowardsthechoiceofthe moresuitableoption.AmongtheseKarmakaretal.(2010) devel-opedaspecificDSSforswinefarmsoftheCanadianPrairesregion:

multiplecombinationsofmanagementoptionscanbeevaluated

consideringdifferentdecisioncriteriasuchasenvironmental, agro-nomic,socialandhealth,greenhousegasemission,andeconomic factors,whilstthesoftwareMLCONE4(Ogilvieetal.,2000)allowsto evaluatemanure-handlingsystemsofagreaternumberoflivestock types(i.e.,swine,dairyandpoultry)anditwasspecificallydesigned forOntarioProvince’sconditions.Similarly,Sørensenetal.(2003)

developedamodeltoevaluatedifferentmanurehandlingsystems forpiganddairyfarms.

TheuseofDSSsconsideringmanuremanagementina

whole-farmperspectivebecomesapriorityinareaswithnutrientsurplus

and where farmers shoulddefine optimalstrategies to reduce

environmental impact at a sustainable cost. In fact, in these

conditionssolutions ofteninclude theimplementationof treat-menttechnologiestoremove nutrient surplusthat entailshigh investmentandoperatingcosts.Agoodexampleofthiscondition isrepresentedbytheplainareaoftheLombardyRegion(northern

Italy)in which the Governmenthave developed regional

legis-lationincludingimplementationoftherequirementsofNitrates (91/676/EEC)andWaterFramework(2000/60/EC)Directivesand ofItalianRegulations,suchastheMinisterialDecreeof19April 1999approvingtheCodeofgoodagriculturalpracticesandthatof 7April2006regardingcriteriaformanuremanagement.Specific

ActionProgrammesfor both nitrateand non-nitratevulnerable

zones (D.g.r. VIII/5868/2007 and D.g.r. IX/2208/2011) together

Programme (RDP) have been implemented to control nutrient

pollutionofwaterfromagriculturalsources.Moreoverfrom2011 is in force the nitratederogation (EC, 2011) for which eligible

farmers who want to obtain its benefit have to respect some

requirementsaboutmanureandlandmanagement.

Thisterritoryinwhichthenitratevulnerablezonesrepresent 62%ofutilisedagriculturalareaischaracterisedbyanintensively managedagriculturewithhighlivestockdensityaccountingfora bigpartoftheItalianlivestock,inparticularmorethan27%of cat-tleand51%ofpigs.Recentstudiesconfirmedthepotentialimpacts oftheagriculturalandlivestockactivities.Fumagallietal.(2011, 2012)highlightedthehighuseofproduction factorssuchasN, fossilenergyandplantprotectionproductstosustainanimaland cropproductions.Peregoetal.(2012)reportedhowtheintensive

maize-basedcroppingsystemsbasedontheuseoforganicand

inorganicfertiliserscoulddeterminehighriskofnitratepollutionas wellasCarozzietal.(2012,2013,2013a)showedhowalternative

low-ammoniaemissiontechniqueshavetobeprescribedduring

manuredistributiononfields.Provolo(2005)showedthenegative

environmentalimpactofsomemanuremanagementsystemsby

mappingsomeindicatorresultssuchasthelivestockmanure pro-duction,theratiobetweennutrientsbroughttothelandandthe uptakeofthecropandtheamountofNappliedperhectare.

The awareness of the environmental concerns related to

livestockactivitieswithwhole-farmperspectiveledtothe devel-opmentofaDSSabletoprovidethestakeholders,suchaspolicy makers,farmers andtheirconsultants,withanassessment tool toevaluatetheintroductionof differentlivestockmanure man-agementsystems.Thedesignandevaluationofdifferentscenarios couldallowtheidentificationofthebestmanagementwhichcould becharacterisedbyavailabletechniquesandtechnologies.

Anintegrateddecisionsupportsystemisherepresentedtobe usedintheLombardyregiontoaddressallthemajorcomponents

ofmanuremanagement(production,storage,treatmentandland

application)foravarietyoflivestocktypes.Itwasdevelopedon thebasisofthepreviousexperiencecarriedoutbyProvolo(2005)

whoevaluateddifferentlivestockmanuremanagements.TheDSS

allowsanintegratedassessmentatfarmandterritorialscaleusing twodifferenttoolsaimedattwodifferentstakeholders.

TheobjectiveofthisworkistopresenttheDSSValorE,which helpsstakeholders(i)tofindthebestoptionforminimisingtherisk ofenvironmentalpollution(mainlyN),(ii)improvingthevalueof manurefromdifferentlivestockinenvironmental,technical, agro-nomicandeconomicterms,(iii)planningmanuretreatmentplants, and(iv)evaluatingtheeffectsofnewtechnologiesonfarm man-agementaswellaschecking,antefactum,possibleimpactsofnew policies.

ValorE:aDSStoenhancelivestockmanuremanagement

ValorE(Valorisation of Effluents) is a user-friendly software developedtocopewithdifferentlivestock(i.e.,cattle,swine, poul-try,sheep,goatsandhorses)andtosuggestandanalysealternative manuremanagementoptionsatfarmandterritorialscale.SuchDSS

consistsofthreemaincomponents:datamanagementsubsystem,

modelmanagementsubsystemanduser-interface.Asimple repre-sentationoftheDSSstructureisreportedinFig.1.Severalexternal databasesaredirectlylinkedandperiodicallyinterrogatedinorder tosupplytheDSSdatabasemanagementsystemwiththerelevant input,whileasoftwaretooldeveloped inthe.NETenvironment

andimplementedusingobjectorientedprogramming(OOP–C#

language),providesthelogictomanagethescenariosimulation linkingagronomicandenvironmentalfarm-scalemodels.Thetwo interfacesallowmanagingthesimulationatfarmandterritorial

Fig.1.SchemashowingthegeneralstructureoftheValorEDSS.

scale respectively.The territorialinterfaceis a web portal

con-nectedtoaWebGIS(geographicalinformationsystem)handling

thespatiallydistributedinputsandoutputsoftheDSS.Allthemaps andtablesproducedbythesoftwareareinItalianlanguagesince anEnglishversionhasnotyetbeenreleased.

Databasesandreferenceinformation

All information needed to run the system are stored on

databasesprovidedbytheLombardyRegionalGovernment.Such

datainclude(i)farmstructure,(ii)meteorologicaldataatdailytime step,and(iii)pedologicalcharacterizationofthewholeregion.

Anotherdatabasecreatedbytheteamgroupcontainsseveral tablesofdefaultdatacalledthereafter“referencetables”. Farmstructure

ThedatabaseoftheAgriculturalInformative Systemof Lom-bardiaRegion(SIARL)containsdatarelatedtothefarmstructure forthewholeregion.Allinformationareperiodicallyupdatedby farmers.Inparticular,farmershavetoprovidedetailsaboutthe regulatorycomplianceonthematterofNmanagement(Provolo, 2005).Thisdatabasecollectsinformationof87%offarmssurveyed by the Italian institute of statistics during the 6th Agricultural

censuslaunchedin 2010.Thedatabaseincludesinformation on

distributionoftheherdaccordingtoanimalagecategories,animals housing,manureandslurrystorageandtreatment.Moreover,land usedataofeverycadastralplotarestoredforeachfarmproviding informationontheareaallocatedtothedifferentcropsoverthe years.

Meteorologicaldatabase

TheLombardia Region hasmadeavailabletwenty-year time

seriesofdailymeteorologicaldatasuchasmaximumandminimum

temperature(C)andprecipitation(mm)in14stations represen-tativeoftheregionalclimatezones.

Soildata

Avectorialsoilmapatscale1:50,000isavailable,where1038 soilscapesaredefinedandcharacterisedbyatleastonesoilprofile. Soilphysicalandchemicalproperties,suchastexture,structure, organicmatter,pH,soilcationexchangecapacity,derivedfromfield andlaboratoryanalysisareavailableforeachhorizonofthesoil profiledownto2mdepth.Thesoilsareclassifiedaccordingtothe WRBclassification(FAO,1998).

Technologicalandagronomicmanagementdata

OnlyapartoftheinformationneededtoruntheDSSisdirectly available from the SIARL database (Regione Lombardia, 2010),

therefore another database containing five reference tables of

defaultdatawasproduced.Defaultdataderivedfromexisting lit-erature,expertsknowledgeandfarmers’interviewsare:

-thetechnique,functionalandeconomicfeaturesofavailable tech-nologiesusedforthemanuretreatment;

-theanimalsration forvariouslivestockcategoriesin termsof proteinandphosphorouscontent;

-themaincropsgrownintheregionalarablelandandtherelated

agronomicmanagement, suchassowing andharvestingtime,

organicandmineralNsupply;

-theirrigationtechniques,thefrequencyandthewatervolumes typicalofthedifferentareasoftheregion;

-thecurrent regulationonthematterof (i)Nitrate Vulnerable Zonesdefinition,(ii)allowedtimingofmanureapplication,(iii) restrictionon manurefertilisationin particularareas suchas riparianzones and protected areas,(iv) guidance for manure incorporation(RegioneLombardia,2007).

Fig.2. Schemashowingthesimulatednitrogenflowsatfarmlevel(modifiedfromBerntsenetal.(2003)).

DSSdevelopment

TheDSShastomeetaseriesofrequirementstobeusefulfor differentkindofstakeholders(e.g.,farmersandtheirconsultants, PublicAuthorities,producersorganisations,scientists,etc.)andfor aneasyupdatingandmaintenance.TheterritorialpartoftheDSSis awebportal,whereasthefarmsimulatorcanbeinstalledandrun onanycomputerrunningwindowsXPOSorlaterversionswithout

specifichardwarerequirement.Moreover,thedevelopmentofan

easywayofoperatingwasamainobjective(nomorethan5clicks togettoacompleteanalysisfollowingthesuggestionofthe“three clickrule”foruserfriendlyandmoreimpactfulwebdesign)with reportsimulationresultseitherinmapsandtabularform.

Theintendedpurposeofthesoftwareistosimulateatfarmscale eachstageoflivestockexcretacyclefromproductionbytheherd tothecropNuptakeaswellastheNcycleandlossesoccurringvia leaching,andgaseousemission(volatilisationanddenitrification).

Fig.2showsthesimulatedNflowsatfarmlevel.Thesoftware con-sistsofdifferentmodularcomponentsrelatingaspecificstageof themanureproductionprocess.Eachcomponentallowsfor selec-tionofstrategiestosimulateaspecificprocessandeachmodule resultsrepresenttheinputdataforthesubsequentone(Fig.3).

Excretionmodule

Inordertoevaluatetheimpactofthedifferentlivestockrations onurineandfaecesproducedbycattleandswine,theexcretionof NandPcontentissimulatedasafunctionoffeedintakeandanimal performance.Inthisanalysis,dairycattle,beefandpigsfarmsare consideredasthemainsourceofproductionofslurryinLombardy. Withregardtocattle,themodelallowsestimatingseparately forurineandfaeces,theamountofNandPexcretedby quanti-fyingtheamountofmanure.Instead,theamountofKexcretedis estimatedasafixedpercentageofliveweight,asrecommendedby existinglegislation.Fordairycattle,theexcretioniscomputedbya sub-modelfromthefollowinginputvariables:(i)thebodyweight oflactatingdairycows,drycows,heifersandcalves(ii)themilk productionlevel,(iii)themilkfatandproteincontent,(iv)thedry matterintake,(v)andtheproteincontentoffeed.Inparticular,the drymatterintakeiscalculatedbyusingtheequationproposedby theNationalResearchCouncilofUSA(2001).Themodelproduces thefollowingoutputdata:(i)theexcretedproductsasfreshmatter (kgFMd−1),calculatedaccordingtoNennichetal.(2005),(ii)urine anditsNcontent(kgd−1),calculatedaccordingtoFoxetal.(2004),

(iii)theamountoffaeces,calculatedasdifferencebetweenthetotal excretedproductsandurine(kgd−1),(iv)theNfaecescontentand, (v)themilkNcontent(kgd−1).

Themodeldevelopedforpigsestimatetheexcretedamountof N,Pand Kaccordingtoseveralstudies(Pomaretal.,1991a,b,c; LeBellegoetal.,2001;vanMilgenandNoblet,2003).In particu-lar,theestimateiscarriedoutforphysiologicalstagesofgrowth andproductionoftheanimal.Themodelquantifiesthefeedintake basedontheanimalgrowth(kgd−1)andfeedconversionefficiency fortheconsideredgrowingphasesandfornumberoffarrowsand litterssizeforthesow.Thenitrogen,PandKintakes(kgd−1)are estimatedbasedonfeedintake(kgd−1)anddietcontents,while excretionsaredeterminedfromdietandproteindigestibilityand mineralabsorption(%)fortheconsideredphysiologicalstages.The modelallowstocalculatethemanureproduction(i.e.,dry mat-terandvolume)andtheN,PandKexcretioninfaecesandurine. Forotheranimalspeciessuchaspoultry,sheep,goatsandhorses,

Fig.3. ModularcomponentoftheDSSrelatingtoeachspecificstageofthemanure productionprocesses.Eachmoduleimplementsitsspecificsimulationmodel.

recommendedbyexistinglegislation(RegioneLombardia,2007).

Housing,treatmentandstoragemodules

Slurryissubjectedtochemicalandphysicalmodificationswith relativegaseouslossestotheatmosphere.Foreach stageofthe storageandtreatmentprocessthemodulesimulatestheamountof slurrymassanditsN,PandKcontenttogetherwiththeinvestment andoperatingnetcostsofanyjointproduction(energy,compost, fertilisers,etc.).Moreover,itallowstheassessmentofthefeasibility andsuitabilityofalternativetechniquesinplantmanagement.

Theinputdataoftheslurrystorageandtreatmentmoduleare: (i)thechemicalandphysicalcompositionoftheexcretedproducts expressedaskgof dry matter,kgFM,faeces TKN (Total Kjeld-halnitrogen)content,urineTKNandP2O5contentinfaecesand urine),(ii)thelitterfractionofthemanure,and(iii)therainfall.The effectofthetypologyoflivestockhousingandtheeffectofdifferent typesofslurrystoragearesimulatedaccordingtoIPCC(2006)and

EEA(2009),consideringalsotheexperienceofAmonetal.(2006)

andWebband Misselbrook(2004).A widerange oftreatments is considered in the module: solid–liquid separation (Dinuccio etal.,2008;Fangueiroetal.,2008;Cocoloetal.,2012),anaerobic digestionwithbiogasandenergyproduction(Amonetal.,2007; Biswasetal.,2007),ammoniastripping(BonmatìandFlotats,2003), nitrificationanddenitrification(Rousseauetal.,2008),aerobic sta-bilisation(Loyonetal.,2006;Belineetal.,2007)andcomposting (Paillatetal.,2005;Szantoetal.,2007).

Theslurrymodulecalculates:(i)thefinalvolumeofthestored slurry,(ii)thefinalchemicalandphysicalcomposition,(iii)thesolid andliquidfraction,(iv)thegaseouslossestotheatmosphere,and (v)thepossibleproductionofbiogasfortheanaerobicdigestion plantsandotherjointproductsoftreatments.

Economicaspectsareinvolvedintheestimationoftheweight ofmanuremanagementoptionsonfarmincome,sinceithasbeen recognisedtheimportanceofcrosscomplianceontheeconomyof agriculturalsector(Bezlepkinaetal.,2008;DeRoestetal.,2011). Foreachphaseofmanagingslurryandmanure(housingtype, treat-ments,storage,distribution),themodulecalculatesinvestmentand

operatingcosts (Berglund and Börjesson,2006;Gourmelen and

Rieu,2006).Forthehousingsystems,whiletheinvestmentcost isrelatedtothecostofconstruction(e.g.,rawmaterial,facilities) theoperatingcostdependsonbeddingmaterials,energy consump-tionandcostoffacilitiesmaintenanceandlabour.Inthecaseof manurestorageanditscoverandofplantformanuretreatment

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