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Applicazioni alla Corporate Governance - Parte II

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Università degli studi di Salerno

Corso di LM in Economia

Corso Corporate Governance

A.A. 2018/2019

II SEMESTRE

Docente: CRISTIAN BARRA

email: cbarra@unisa.it

ricevimento: Giovedì (14:30/16:30)

APPLICATIONS TO CORPORATE

GOVERNANCE: PART II!

(2)

Endogeneity (Equilibrium vs.

Non-Equilibrium Response)

•  Implications endogeneity holds for econometric

analysis

•  Implications for how to view actual governance

practice

•  When we observe what appears to be a poor

governance structure, we need to ask why that

structure was chosen

•  Governance structure may have been chosen by

mistake, or it represents the right, albeit poor,

solution to the constrained optimization problem

faced by the firm

(3)

Endogeneity and Firm Value!

Let us say that you find a

relationship between firm

governance and firm valuation

as shown below

(taken from Adams et al. 2010 (Journal of Economic

Literature)), where "Governance Attribute" is board

size

(4)

Endogeneity and Firm Value!

•  Now consider the optimization problem faced

by each firm there is a

non-monotonic relation

between governance & performance

...relation

is concave and admits an interior maximum

(5)

Measuring Governance!

•  Can we

quantify

the level of corporate governance

chosen by a firm?

•  The power-sharing relationship between investors and

managers is defined by the rules of corporate

governance, but how best to capture such a

relationship?

•  Gompers, Ishii and Metrick (2003) look at

provisions

(disposizioni o regole)

decided by firms, largely

dealing with the defence against takeovers

•  Idea: più l’impresa impone regole anti-takeover,

maggiore sarà la protezione degli organi interni

contro la disciplina imposta dal mercato per il controllo

aziendale, minore sarà il ruolo della CG

(6)

The G index

•  Data from publications of the Investor

Responsibility Research Center (IRRC)

•  IRRC provides 24 distinct corporate-governance

provisions for approximately 1500 firms since 1990

•  The index construction:

for every firm one point

is added for every provision that reduces

shareholder rights

•  Firms in the highest decile of the index are placed

in the Dictatorship Portfolio highest management

power or weakest shareholder rights

•  Firms in the lowest decile of the index placed in the

Democracy Portfolio lowest management power or

strongest shareholder rights

(7)

The G Index: Anti-Takeover

Mechanisms

•  Why are anti-takeover provisions used to measure

firm’s level of internal governance?

•  The idea is simple: in generale,

takeovers si

verifica se il management non massimizza il valore

sei soci

... in this case a bidder (raider; colui che fa

l’offerta per acquisire l’impresa) will start a bid for

the target to takeover the firm...

•  ...if the bidder is successful, the old CEO (and

management team) will be replaced with the new

one

•  Thus an

under-performing CEO (non si impegna al

massimo per aumentare il valore dei soci) has

incentives to introduce provisions that make

takeovers more difficult

(8)
(9)

The G index

•  The index construction is straightforward:

for every firm

Gompers et al. add one point for every provision that

restricts shareholder rights (increases managerial

power)

•  While this simple index does

not accurately reflect the

relative impacts of different provisions (in altri termini da

lo stesso peso a tutte le provisions)

, it has the

advantage of being transparent and easily reproducible

•  The index does not require any judgments about the

efficacy or wealth effects of any of these provisions

Almost every provision gives management a tool to

resist different types of shareholder activism

, such as

calling special meetings (assemblee straordinarie),

changing the firm’s charter (regolamento o carta

aziendale) or by lawsers the impact on the balance of

power etc.

(10)

Provisions of the G index

•  The Delay group includes provisions designed to

slow down a hostile bidder

ü  For takeover battles that require a proxy fight to either

replace a board or dismantle (smantellare) a takeover

defense, these provisions are the most crucial

ü  Some legal scholars argue that the dynamics of

modern takeover battles have rendered all other

defenses superfluous

•  The Voting group contains provisions related to

shareholders rights in elections or charter/bylaw

amendments

•  The Protection group contains provisions designed to

insure officers and directors against job-related

(11)

Meaning of the G index

•  The index does not require any judgments (valutazione) about the efficacy or wealth effects of any of these provisions

•  Only considers the impact on the balance of power between managers and shareholders

•  For example, consider Classified Boards, a provision that

staggers (slittare) the terms and elections of directors and hence can be used to slow down (rallentare) a hostile takeover

ü  If management uses this power judiciously, it could possibly lead to an increase in overall shareholder wealth; if

management uses this power to maintain private benefits of control, then this provision would decrease shareholder wealth ü  In either case, it is clear that Classified Boards (struttura in cui

gli amministratori, in merito alla loro durata, hanno poteri che derivano dalla loro classificazione/gerarchia nel Consiglio)

increase the power of managers and weaken the control rights of large shareholders, which is all that matters for the index •  Thus you need to pay a lot of attention to the meaning and

(12)
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(14)

G index - Correlations

  These correlations are descriptive and are intended to

provide some background for the analyses

•  The strongest relation is between G and S&P 500 (indice

che segue l’andamento di un paniere azionario formato

dalle 500 aziende US a maggiore capitalizzazione)

•  The G Index is also positively correlated with size (SIZE),

share price (PRICE), trading volume (VOLUME), and

institutional ownership (IO)

•  Overall, it appears that firms with

weaker shareholder

rights tend to be large S&P firms with relatively high share

prices (PRICE), institutional ownership (IO) and trading

volume (VOLUME), relatively poor sales growth

(SGROWTH), and poor stock-market performance (BM:

performance del mercato azionario)

(15)
(16)

Governance and Valuation: Causation

or Association?

•  The results can be consistent with three different hypotheses

ü  Hypothesis 1: weak shareholder rights caused additional agency costs

•  If the market underestimated these costs, then a firm’s stock returns would have been worse than expected, and its value at the beginning of the period would have been too high

ü  Hypothesis 2: managers in the 1980s predicted poor performance in the 1990s, but investors did not

•  In this case, the managers could have put governance provisions in place to protect their jobs

•  While the provisions might have real protective power, they would not have caused the poor performance

ü  Hypothesis 3: governance provisions did not cause poor performance (and need not have any protective power) but rather are correlated with other characteristics that were associated with abnormal returns in the 1990s

(17)

Governance and Product Market

Competition

•  Question:

Do firms in noncompetitive industries benefit more

from good governance than do firms in competitive industries?

•  Managers of firms in competitive industries may have strong

incentives to reduce slack and maximize profits, or else the firm

will go out of business

•  Accordingly, the need to provide managers with incentives

through good governance—and thus the benefits of good

governance—should be smaller for firms in competitive

industries (Il manager sarebbe più pressato a dare il massimo e

quindi meno incentivato in mkt competitivi)

•  In contrast, firms in noncompetitive industries, where lack of

competitive pressure fails to enforce discipline on managers,

should benefit relatively more from good governance

(in mkt

concentrati il manager è meno pressato a dare il massimo rispetto a mkt concorrenziali. Ecco perchè tali mkt dovrebbero beneficiare

(18)

Governance and Product Market

Competition

•  Giroud and Mueller (2011) provide evidence supporting

the hypothesis that

firms in noncompetitive industries

benefit more from good governance than do firms in

competitive industries

•  When competition is measured using the Herfindahl–

Hirschman index (HHI), they find that the alpha earned by

the Democracy–Dictatorship hedge portfolio (tecnica per

ridurre il rischio cui gli investimenti sono esposti) is small

and insignificant in the lowest HHI tercile, is monotonically

increasing across HHI terciles, and

is large and significant

in the highest HHI tercile

•  The alpha in the highest HHI tercile remains large and

significant.

(19)

Governance and Product Market

Competition

(20)

Governance and Product Market

Competition

•  In Panel A, the sample period is from 1990 to

1999: the VW alpha based on the entire sample is

0.66% (t = 2.57) during this period

•  If we form hedge portfolios based on HHI terciles,

we obtain a pattern that is typical of practically all

results: the VW alpha is small (0.30%) and

insignificant in the lowest HHI tercile (competitive

industries), is monotonically increasing across

HHI terciles, and is large (1.47%) and significant (t

= 3.38) in the highest HHI tercile

(21)

Governance and Product Market

Competition

•  There are two potential explanations for the positive alpha

earned by the Democracy–Dictatorship hedge portfolio:

1. 

it may be driven by an omitted variable bias

: such a bias could

arise if the G-index is correlated with risk characteristics that are

priced during the sample period but that are not captured by the

underlying asset pricing model

2. 

weak governance gives rise to agency costs whose magnitude

is underestimated by investors

. we also find that the average

forecast error is small and insignificant

•  However, the forecast error in the highest HHI tercile is large

and significant. Thus, analysts underestimate the effect of

governance on earnings in precisely those industries in which

governance matters for earnings, namely, noncompetitive

(22)

Governance and Tobin’s Q

•  The impact of the G Index on Tobin’s Q (valore di mercato del

pacchetto azionario di un'impresa: in grado di misurare la

differenza tra il capitale desiderato dall'impresa e il capitale

effettivamente posseduto da questa) is largely felt only in firms

(23)

Governance and Firm Performance

•  Same pattern as before seen when other dimensions of

firm performance are investigated

Riferimenti

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