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An integrated system for rainfall induced shallow landslides modeling

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Geophysical Research Abstracts Vol. 16, EGU2014-12925, 2014 EGU General Assembly 2014

© Author(s) 2014. CC Attribution 3.0 License.

An integrated system for rainfall induced shallow landslides modeling

Giuseppe Formetta (1), Giovanna Capparelli (1), Riccardo Rigon (2), and Pasquale Versace (1)

(1) University of Calabria - Arcavacata Campus - via P. Bucci - 87036 Arcavacata di Rende (CS), Italy, (2) University of Trento, 77 Mesiano St., Trento, 38123, Italy

Rainfall induced shallow landslides (RISL) cause significant damages involving loss of life and properties. Predict susceptible locations for RISL is a complex task that involves many disciplines: hydrology, geotechnical science, geomorphology, statistic. Usually to accomplish this task two main approaches are used: statistical or physically based model.

In this work an open source (OS), 3-D, fully distributed hydrological model was integrated in an OS modeling framework (Object Modeling System). The chain is closed by linking the system to a component for safety factor computation with infinite slope approximation able to take into account layered soils and suction contribution to hillslope stability. The model composition was tested for a case study in Calabria (Italy) in order to simulate the triggering of a landslide happened in the Cosenza Province.

The integration in OMS allows the use of other components such as a GIS to manage inputs-output processes, and automatic calibration algorithms to estimate model parameters. Finally, model performances were quantified by comparing modelled and simulated trigger time. This research is supported by Ambito/Settore AMBIENTE E SICUREZZA (PON01_01503) project.

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