Temporal changes in rodent density and climatic factors as ecological drivers of tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) within a natural endemic foci

Testo completo

(1)

(2) 0123146789 94

(3) 3

(4) 1

(5) 19448194394

(6) 3

(7) 1

(8) 7612

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

(10)

(11) 4XYYZZZ[\12314 ]189[5<I+:#+""+O'204+'@#0-)&'+'!'+0+A0++*+""+ =444

(12) 22^\12314 ]189[B4+0'/+'*@.0*+'5 0123146789 94

(13) 3

(14) 1

(15) _2`48a9

(16) 12

(17) 3b

(18) 29

(19) 406 c&+!"#!$%&'()'*#*!*#/.*&0++03&#'*#*!*#.''-&#4&+02+-+0"!*&.0#*d5)*#*0!3*!0+- #'*.89#'*#*!*+'-+M+0"0++03&+0M#3+!'#*.'*&+#*+.2>!+-"#'/!04?,0!'3&@+#4? $"+#'73&'.@?<#+/+"-#'4+'?.+'&+#7!'-0+-+'(A#""'#*:?3.7I"+7+'*+-/d'+eI+0#7+'( *"**#.'2.0I.**.0++03&*E0.FG%+@#*:5c&+&+-f!0*+00+".3*+-#'>!+-"#'/!045 c&+)'*#*!*+g3.0+3*#M#*d#*.-M#+*&+2+-+0"4.M+0'7+'*'-*&+K+-+0"J#'#*0d.2K..- '-O40#3!"*!0+#'I0*#3!"0.'""#!+0+"*#'4*.3!"*#M*+-I"'*5)*-#M+0+*Q#'*&#W+"- 0+*#I!"*+-#'#7I.0*'*"+4"3*!3&*&+A"'*A0.*+3*#.'O3*?*&+E+'+*#36'4#'++0#'4O3* '-*&+R&+7#3"O3*'-#'3.00+I.'-#'4"+4"0+4!"*#.'?2!0*&+07.0+*&+d0#+20.7*&+ '+@,J6G0++03&I"'5 c&+)'*#*!*+g3.7I+*+'3+3.7I0#+/.*&*&+2!'3*#.'.22+-+0"!*&.0#*d'-*&+0++03&#' *&+W+"-.2I"'*4+'+*#3?40.'.7d?I"'*'!*0#*#.''-.#"3#+'3+@+""I"'*I0.*+3*#.' '-I"'*&+"*&5h'*&#/#?*&+$)'+*@.0Q""#7I.0*'*-+I0*7+'*"*Q0+"*#'4*.3!"*#( M*+-I"'*U@&+*&+040.@'#'W+"-'-2.0+*?#'*&+4"&.!+.0#''!0/'+'M#0.'7+'* U'--+M+".I#'*+40*+-3.'3+I*2.0I"'*3!"*#M*#.'@&."+?0'4#'420.7I"'*I0.-!3*#.' *.I"'*30+'-I"'*!4+5P++03&'-.M+0+#4'2!'3*#.'0+3".+"d#'*+0*@#'+-5 J.0+#'2.07*#.'#M#"/"+.'*&+@+/#*+.2*&+!"#!$%&'()'*#*!*!'-+0 8

(20)

(21) 4XYYZZZ[\12314 ]189[5K.07.0+I+3#W3+'f!#0#+?I"++3.'*3*.!0I!/"#30+"*#.' .i3+=444

(22) 22^\12314 ]189[B5. jk3948

(23) _l19_19 40123146789 94

(24) 3

(25) 1

(26) 4 19448194394

(27) 3

(28) 1

(29) 7612

(30) 199[m[j__ 60@#'(,!0(<*05n9?;opqp>!+-"#'/!04? c+"5r;stpop9(n;;?6(J#"rj__^\12314 ]189[ )'*+0'+*r&**Iruu@@@5v!"#!(Q!+&'5-+u,+0+#3&w$)uV+0@#0#'-uK10-+0M+0+#'+x.

(31) 012314567895

(32) 83 %!40%%:!!%;:<. '%%(!) "*%+%%", % -').#%, /%,01,%*023.#,456-7 894%!. !"#$%&.

(33) F1469G 9 H$H"#&"$+H"$"I")+= 9H %J$-$KL+)"%M")N$)7#)N%("+,%"$K -$7#),%"$,)##$$O#)%)"$+L#)KP)&)"M")K Q#33 +R.::KB:9;9S2$)KT)1"$U =V$ ()U#7,#+"1K-$#7>#1)U"$+>#%#.UK W$1"%I#%#.UT)#3KS"%&)"%%9K 9BB;<,#+"1KT)1"$U. X4 73 Y6571Z15 [41

(34)

(35) G H"$"I")+KV$()U#7,#+"1 H$H"#&KH%J2 $-$KL+)"%M")N$)7#)N%("+,%"$KS2$) "$%"M%KH%J2 $-$KL+)"%M")N$)7#)N%("+,%"$KS2$) N )"$8\)KV$()U#7,#+"1 I%'8U+R*KV$()U#7,#+"1 ] 1

(36) 18 46571915 41

(37)

(38) G I1%Q'"+%^N*M3&%_`L)"'I'^8R+$_`T)"$8$.%#$^, %33$_0O''O$#$$ ^L$%"$+_`H"$"I")+^T)1"$U_`H$H"#&^T)1"$U_àU$O$+^W)"%"_`,)$J"%1^N#$.#_` b"()a"1&$^VJ_`c &$c "$.^N $"_

(39) 671473 ]

(40)

(41) 615 [41

(42)

(43) d4

(44) 9

(45) ]e71G W&)""1O"1^-)"%_`W%fU8)#(^M"_`W$"S")">$+'^M#1"$"_`>#)J)"$#(^-)"%_` I1%Q'"+%^N*M3&%_`g)a>#%$.h^>%.1_`L")+"J "11")^W%.)"_` L)"$i'8+%jk'^N*M3&%_`T)D%#$^8R+$_`T)"$8$.%#$^W)"%"_` O''O$#$$^L$%"$+_`H"$c1"^N*M3&%_`H"$6L)"$l#N##$^L)"$_à$">"%k"'" â"$"_`S")"+"a*S""^,#)."%_`S#%%US#$#. ^V8W_`S"7"8m*$^Q)'U_` !.%n##*^!#)R"U_`D%."D3#("^M"_`Q"'U"81"+"^H"3"$_`P#)8j$*N#)+)#^Sf#_` b"()a"1&$^V$+J$.+#1_`n"1$""1"$^W%.)"_

(46) 671473 ]

(47)

(48) 615 [41

(49)

(50)

(51) 671473 [4

(52) 6

(53)

(54) 4 d4

(55) 014345o 7 p775

(56)

(57) G W$+)">U)#1^!Rc"%"$+_`N ")%UJ)&^N"$"+"_`T)"$8$.%#$^, %33$_`H$H"#&^T)1"$U_` Hqa^N $"_àU$O$+^W)"%"_`!#W($"$^8#W7)"_`,)>"$'^W)"%"_` ,)>)#R$^W)"%"_`M.$#N"("^W).$$"_`M #+S"'$+^Q"$*"$"_`M#.),^!Rc"%"$+_` 8($>%1"$^VJ_`8+")1"E^-$+#$"_`c &$c "$.^N $"_. 01231456789

(58) 46714

(59) 6

(60) 9

(61) 71473212314

(62) !"#$"%&&%#'()*$+,&%'"#$ -$+)$!"#$"%&&%#.)"/0+"%%)&&%#.)"/ "$$+1-$)$2&)3044+$&5+6$&5+"&)7&")5 -88!9:;:6<:<= -8>!<?:6@6<AAB?6CA<6@ D-9C5AC?@4E'"5=C9:5BA<5CCC. W%%>)r.1H%6J2 $6W)($+$)$) N)"(N#11#$6!"1$$$$$.6s)."&$).%$>+$.$.$6 B5Ca*$*()mt$%5 ,)$+$T)1"$U&UW)$#>)U$+"T1&OK>)%$5.

(63) 012451675819 58

(64) 5 67656 6519. 858586651012 6561819 18 . *+,-./+012+345678+,5419:.4;.4.1 <4=0+,;>1?/;5@4.1:51,+34561345.:6A1;531?>:=;6:?1B;?6+,.1;.14?+>+@:?;>1 3,:C4,.1+B16:?-7D+,54145?40/;>:6:.1E<8FG1H:6/:51;15;6I,;>14534=:?1B+?:1. KL J;>456:5K;1<;@>:;0:46,;KKL12+D4,6+12+.MKKL1N;66:;1N;5:?;KL1O4 : 3 : 1 OP Q P 1 O ; I B B 4 19;5:4>41 R,5+>3:L1S;I.6;12+..+L1Q/:;,;12+..:L1O4:--:1O4566+545TL1R55;0;+>;12:UU+>:K1 V 58W9. 56X58285926 68 Y%96418 &8 651958Z18 9896178[ 82Z91 \59 &6791 ]6 95^9V95 85. _9^"` 75665628 919a_Xb986&676567. 98 968686`126_X&97 a_Xcb8 8&9&9717859116895 `12619^defghijklmlnoiZ_X288812 9179`19 59558178 65692 1 1Z_Xc97 819 59512658178 65&97 5651. 7&98127669 67651 6 178599 5p&67198 178599 5a 7 12695 616 68 61 1266695 795b&97869178599 5a95 619 8598 876126 76 126&97q26519^ 66 512685&96&678b855 5"&97869178599 5. 7 " 6695arc_ 7

(65) sVq26519^6195 616q29 69 1856 6695 5 619` 6 75 1619` 6t9568598 bZrc_28`66576 59W68126 1 6 99651 87Z_267 651uvfghwoijxyz{lmfyyli9126 19 718512 195167 7195178599 5 _Xc`61q665 669519^Z_26 " 77656 87&8685 52 57 6512 1912676 76665198 7126rc_859 8& 76`12668 58 527 5991 12697819&91Z|668 516781861 7 1 ' 56 q" 56^6 6auvfghwoijxyz{lmfyylib 819 5 6695defghijklmlnoi7 651_X 67 76&8 65685 98198181 95&61981612679598 79&67 " 669519^ 5 7 651Z458719 87 9819 5919 5a9Z6Z8158 . 95b79512676&9 687. 8 958 616

(66) sV 7765695167 19^527 5991Z}87&869516591`1 5 152q88 9816q9127 6516591 5 519 867189512762 8` &6 q29219^`916 57 6512 1876q816Z% 959&98 68176 7 6518 616

(67) sV 776569Z6Z268&9618 687796 76

(68) sV7 85126 &678 5`67

(69) sV7 919&6 8 616_Xc95 619 576&8 656957 651126 q95687Z45 5 9 5 9819&8798` 6857 6516591 `668687 q875951. 1 61679561266791656 8_X 9Z . ! 9"#$25"%729&'(). '.

(70)