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Climate change as the energy problem

Prof. Lucka Kajfez Bogataj

University of Ljubljana, Slovenia

(2)

LIFESTYLE TODAY IS HIGLY ENERGY CONSUMING

One person energy need

≈ 1GigaJ per day

(3)

Primary energy consumption and total global emissions

are increasing

(4)

Gross inland energy consumption by fuel

EU (2015)

(5)

Gross inland energy consumption by fuel

type (2015)

(6)

Gross inland energy consumption by

country and by fuel type (2015)

(7)

10 must-knows on Climate Change

COP23 Bonn november 2017

(8)

Where do we stand?

1. Earth has entered a new geological epoch – the Anthropocene – with profound implications for humanity and the relative stability of the

Earth system.

2. Earth is approaching tipping points due to human pressures.

3. Risks of extreme weather are increasing.

4. Rising sea levels and ocean acidification are growing threats.

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Why should we care?

5. The costs of climate change are already being felt today and will increase in the future.

6. Human health is at risk from air pollutants that alter the climate, and the impacts of a changing climate, which are decreasing food security and increasing the risks of disease and heat stress.

7. Climate change is likely to exacerbate the risk of large-scale migration and civil unrest.

.

(10)

How can we avoid dangerous impacts?

8. The world needs to act faster: deeper cuts are needed to reduce risk of global average temperature rising 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. A pathway of halving global emissions every decade is consistent with this goal.

9. It is possible for the world to meet Paris Agreement targets if nation states cooperate and coordinate

mitigation efforts. Carbon pricing is an important policy tool that would create substantial revenues amounting to potentially several percent of GDP.

10. Adaptation and resilience building are necessary even

if the world succeeds with aggressive international action

to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases.

(11)

Energy and mitigating climate change

To limit the average temperature increase to 2 °C, global emissions

will have to peak in 2020 and then start declining. Global emissions

in 2050 will have to be 40-70 % lower than in 2010 and they will

have to fall to near zero — or below — by 2100.

(12)

FOSSIL-FUEL SUBSIDIES ARE MOST OFTEN WASTEFUL, INEFFICIENT AND COSTLY

Our dependence on fossil fuels has

always been an economic decision

(13)
(14)

How we can limit global warming to 1.5°C

The most important things to do in the next 5 to 10 years

(15)
(16)

21 March

2017

(17)

Energy

efficiency:

tackling energy loss is essential

Innovative

solutions must fundamentally

change the way we produce, store,

transport and use

energy

(18)

Where to start?

Final energy consumption in the EU by sector (2015)

(19)
(20)

National and local energy agencies what shoud they also stand for

To focuse also on:

• Challenging the government on its plans to deeply cut GHG emissions

• Planing how to change the energy mix (more RE)

• Opposing subsidies to fossil fuels

• Campaigning for action on increase of energy efficiency (consume less energy)

• Improving energy literacy (general public, policy

makers)

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• Can trace energy flows and think in terms of energy systems

• Knows how much energy he or she uses, for what, and where the energy comes from

• Can assess the credibility of information about energy

• Can communicate about energy and energy use in meaningful ways

• Is able to make informed energy and energy use decisions based on an understanding of impacts and consequences

• Continues to learn about energy throughout his or her life

An energy-literate person

(23)

Do people in your country know

• Are people familiar with RE concept

• What are the main sources of the biomass and which one is the most sustainable

• the disadvantages to using renewable energy over tradition gas or electricity energy

• Are they familiar with national energy action plans (RE targets for the electricity, heating and cooling, and transport sectors, planned mix of different RE technologies, national policies to develop biomass and biofuels resources)

• Is there a basic climate change awarness present

• Do they recognize conection between GHG emmissions and climate change

• Is general public informed about climate action on different levels (national level, local level)

• Are peope willing to change energy use

(24)

https://ec.europa.eu/energy/en/topics/renewable-energy/national-action-plans

(25)

Example of Slovenia action plan

RENEWABLE ENERGY TARGETS

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• Average EU member

125 kWh/day

125 kWh/day≈ 12, 5 t CO

2

/ year

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or

1,2 ha per person 126

kWh/day

(28)
(29)

Are you familiar with national energy action plans (renewable energy targets for the electricity, heating

and cooling, and transport sectors?

Yes No

Not sure General public

Slovenia, 2017

(30)

Are you familiar with any local energy action plans (RE targets for the electricity, energy efficiency plans)?

Yes No

Not sure General public

Slovenia, 2017

(31)

Conclusions

• Earth climate is approaching tipping points

due to human pressures and the world needs to act fast

• Climate change problem is energy problem

• National and local energy agencies

have important roles to play and also research cooperation projects (COMPOSE)

• Improving energy literacy of general public

and policy makers is crucial

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