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ASFORESEE - A multidisciplinary model to assess forest protection service against rockfall in the Alpine Space

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ASFORESEE

A multidisciplinary model to

assess

forest protection

service

against

rockfall

in the

Alpine Space

ESP Europe 2018 Regional Conference «Ecosystem Services in a Changing World: Moving from Theory to Practice» San Sebastiàn, Spain; 15-19/10/2018

PROJECT SELECTED FOR CO-FINANCING BY THE EU – Total support of € 1,856,844 – Project n. : 462

Stakeholders’

protection

demand

Forest

effectiveness

Forest

management

cost

THE PROJECT:

Alpine forests have always been managed to maintain their protective functions against several gravitational hazard.

Nonetheless, a lack of harmonised tools and methods to evaluate and predict their effectiveness prevented their adoption as

nature-based protective solution. The

INTERREG Alpine Space Project “RockTheAlps”

capitalizes the knowledge gained in previous EU

project filling the current gaps in mapping, evaluating and modelling the protection service of forests against rockfall.

AIMS:

Our contribution to the project consists on the development of

ASFORESEE

: the

first harmonized

model to evaluate the

protection service provided by forests against rockfall risk

at stand level

. The framework of the model is presented below.

Defensive

structure

cost

Imput data Decision Approach Evaluation option

The Stakeholders’ protection demand is the minimum degree of protection

stakeholders expect to receive. It represents the demand side of the protection ES. This value is currently evaluated qualitatively via dedicated

workshops.

The Rockfall Protection Index, developed within the Arange project, was adopted to measure the

% of blocks stopped by the forest.

It considers forest (density, DBH, species), slope

(length, steepness, height difference, cliff height) and block (diameter, shape, type) features.

Forest management costs

represent the expenditures of

forest management in order to maintain the protective role of the stand. We adopted a 2% interest rate in a 25 years period.

To estimate the cost of a

standard protective structure

as effective as the forest, we designed net fences according to the ETAG 027 EU guidelines, with a site-specific approach. Their sizing considers the 95° quantile of blocks distribution, integrated with safety factors.

Has

the forest a

significant

protective

role?

NO YES NO YES

OPTION A:

Forest protection

is irrelevant and

insufficient

Option A: the forest protection

value is equal to the

discounted

forest management costs

𝑃

𝑣

= 𝑀

𝑖

0

𝑡

1

(1 + 𝑟)

𝑖

𝑃𝑣 is the protection value ; 𝑀 is the NPV of the

management expenditures i incurred in the period from 0 to t, discounted at the rate r.

Is Forest

effectiveness

>

Desired protection

level ?

Replacement

Cost approach

OPTION B:

Forest protection

is relevant but

insufficient

OPTION C:

Forest protection

is relevant and

sufficient

Option C: the forest protection value is equal to the

cost of

the defensive structure needed if there was no forest.

𝑃

𝑣

= 𝐹

𝑠

∙ K

𝑟𝑒𝑑

− 𝑀

𝑖

1

(1 + 𝑟)

𝑖 0

𝑡

𝑃𝑣 is the protection value; 𝐹𝑠 is the cost of an alternative standard protective structure; 𝐾𝑟𝑒𝑑 is the reduction coefficient describing the forest effectiveness; 𝑀 is the NPV of the

management expenditures i incurred in the period from 0 to t, discounted at the rate r.

Option B: the forest protection value is equal to the

cost

of building a smaller protective structure

𝑃

𝑣

= 𝐹

𝑠

− 𝐹

𝑤𝑓

− 𝑀

0𝑡 𝑖

(1+𝑟)1 𝑖

𝑃𝑣 is the protection value ;𝐹𝑠 is the cost of an alternative standard protective structure;𝐹𝑤𝑓 is the cost of the smaller structure built considering the forest role;𝑀 is the NPV of the

management expenditures i incurred in the period from 0 to t, discounted at the rate r.

According to the Replacement Cost approach, the protection value of the forest is equal to the cost of

building protective structure to reproduce its benefits. It is an indirect method based on technical, forest and economic data.

AUTHORS:

Cristian Accastello; Simone Blanc; Stefano Bruzzese; Filippo Brun

Department of Agricultural, Forest and Food Sciences (DISAFA) - University of Turin

Presenting Author: Cristian Accastello E-mail: cristian.accastello@unito.it www. Alpine-space.eu/projects/rockthealps ROCKtheALPS

Alpine Forests are Rock Stars!

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